After a convincing win over the Vikings, the Packers wrap up the regular season on the road against the Lions. In their prior matchup in Week 6, the Packers squeaked past the Lions by a score of 23-22 but the Lions looked much different at the time. Matt Stafford was the quarterback and was throwing to guys like Marvin Jones Jr and T.J. Hockenson, all of whom have landed on the IR. The Packers do have something to play for in this game, as they have a chance to clinch the top seed in the conference if the beat the Lions and the Seahawks beat or tie the 49ers. The Lions have one of the worst defenses in the league and should provide huge games from Aaron Rodgers, Davante Adams and Aaron Jones. Specifically, Jones could be busier than usual as Jamaal Williams left Monday’s game with a shoulder injury. Either way, the Packers look to be in a great spot as the favorites, a scenario they sport a 7-4 record against the spread in.
As you’d imagine, the Lions have been struggling offensively since Blough took over at quarterback. Making his debut on Thanksgiving, the Lions are averaging 15 points per game over the five-game span he’s been under center. The Packers haven’t allowed more than a single passing touchdown in four straight games and have nabbed seven interceptions in that same time frame. You can run against the Packers but the game script isn’t exactly favorable for the Lions to implement that heavily. They’ve lost all four games that Blough has started and are only 1-3 ATS in that span. Against a Packers team that is vying for the top seed, this will be a difficult matchup for the Lions to overcome.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
Point Spread: Packers -10
Total Points: 41.5
Money Line: Packers -480; Lions +360
Overall: Packers 12-3; Lions 3-11-1
ATS: Packers 10-5; Lions 5-10
O/U: Packers 6-9; Lions 10-5
Players to watch: TE Marcedes Lewis (not injury related), S Will Redmond (hamstring), RB Dan Vitale (knee), RB Jamaal Williams (shoulder), T Bryan Bulaga (groin), DT Kenny Clark (ankle), LB Rashan Gary (shoulder), TE Jimmy Graham (not injury related), WR Allen Lazard (ankle), C Corey Linsley (back), DE Dean Lowry (ankle), CB Tramon Williams (not injury related), LB Oren Burks (shoulder), LB Blake Martinez (hand), G Billy Turner (hamstring)
Players to watch: DT Damon Harrison (knee, calf, resting veteran), DT A’Shawn Robinson (shoulder), LB Devon Kennard (shoulder), LB Steve Longa (quadricep), T Rick Wagner (knee), S Tavon Wilson (hamstring), T Taylor Decker (ankle)
- The favorites have won each of the last eight games between the Packers and Lions at Ford Field.
- The Lions have failed to cover the spread in nine of their last 10 games.
- Each of the Lions’ last six games at Ford Field have gone OVER the total points line.
- Aaron Jones has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Packers’ last three games.
- Davante Adams has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Packers’ last four games as road favorites against NFC opponents.
- Kenny Golladay has scored a touchdown in each of the Lions’ last three games against NFC North opponents.
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