With the Bills in the playoffs locked into the fifth seed and the Jets, well, not, this game doesn’t really have much meaning other than pride. The Jets are coming off a victory against the Steelers in a game that featured 26 total points. We can likely expect another low game total here against a Bills defense that’s been excellent all season long. Sam Darnold only managed 175 passing yards and a touchdown against the Bills in Week 1, a game the Jets lost 17-16. It’s hard to find an area of the Jets offense that could find success against the Bills, as they’ve really locked down almost every position defensively. The biggest problem for the Bills have been on offense, as they average just 20.5 points per game. To the Jets credit, they are 6-5 ATS as underdogs this season.
The Bills have a good matchup to get them set for the playoffs. The Jets, unlike the Bills, are not strong on defense. Despite being picked off twice in their prior matchup, Josh Allen threw for 254 yards with a touchdown while rushing for 38 yards on 10 attempts and a rushing touchdown. Teams have been trying to silence John Brown but he remains Allen’s favorite target and should have success against a Jets secondary that allows an average of 164 receiving yards and 12.5 YPR to opposing receivers. Where the Jets have found some success defensively is on the ground, which could be an issue for Devin Singletary. In Week 1, Singletary was seeing limited touches, as Frank Gore was operating as the RB1. That role has shifted since but Gore could be used a bit more in this game with nothing on the line. As favorites, the Bills are 4-3 ATS on the season.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
Jets at Bills
Point Spread: Bills -2
Total Points: 36
Money Line: Jets +112; Bills -125
Overall: Jets 6-9; Bills 10-5
ATS: Jets 6-9; Bills 9-4-2
O/U: Jets 7-8; Bills 4-11
Players to watch: G Tom Compton (calf), RB Kenneth Dixon (illness), G Alex Lewis (ankle), WR Demaryius Thomas (hamstring, knee), S Jamal Adams (ankle), DE Henry Anderson (knee, shoulder), WR Robby Anderson (calf), T Kelvin Beachum (back, ankles), DT Steve McLendon (knee, hip), CB Brian Poole (ankle), LB James Burgess (thumb), WR Jamison Crowder (thumb), QB Sam Darnold (knee, left thumb), CB Nate Hairston (illness)
Players to watch: LB Lorenzo Alexander (not injury related -- resting veteran), DE Shaq Lawson (hamstring), WR Andre Roberts (foot), T Ty Nsekhe (ankle), C Mitch Morse (ankle)
- The Jets have lost each of their last 11 road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Bills have covered the spread in each of their last five games following a loss.
- Each of the Jets’ last four Sunday games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Cole Beasley has scored the first touchdown in three of the Bills’ last four games at New Era Field.
- Cole Beasley has scored a touchdown in each of the Bills’ last five home games.
- Robby Anderson has scored a touchdown in four of the Jets’ last five Sunday games.
- John Brown has scored at least one touchdown in five of his last six appearances against AFC East opponents.
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