Welcome back to Week 17! This is the final full DFS slate of the NFL season, and it is certain to be a good one. Be sure to keep up with all of the news at DK Nation, as Week 17 tends to be an information-based slate that requires knowledge of who is in, who is out, and who is motivated.
The concept behind stacking a QB with his WR is simple; both players benefit from each completion, doubling the benefit of that play for your fantasy lineup. As Adam Levitan pointed out, 79 percent of the lineups that won DraftKings’ Fantasy Football Millionaire contests used a QB stack in their lineup. With the significance of stacking in mind, this article aims to highlight the best stacking options for Sunday’s main slate.
5. Dak Prescott ($6,300)/Amari Cooper ($6,500), Cowboys vs. Redskins
Prescott is dealing with a sprained AC joint in his shoulder, but is not listed on the injury report and will certainly play in this must-win game for the Cowboys. Dallas needs to put themselves in position to steal the division away from Philly after losing to them last week and falling one game behind. A win and Eagle loss puts the Cowboys in the playoffs.
Cooper has had an up-and-down season, but has been absolutely dominant at home since joining the Cowboys last season.
Home - 6.9 receptions, 110.6 yards, 0.9 touchdowns per game
Away - 3.8 receptions, 41.2 yards, 0.3 touchdowns per game
These splits are massive, and over a 24 game sample in total. The Redskins are 23rd in Football Outsiders pass defense DVOA, and will be without a few defensive starters this weekend.
The theme of the week is who needs to win to make the playoffs. Tannehill and the Titans are another such team, requiring just a win to be in as the final seed in the AFC. On the flip side, Houston has no such incentive, as they will most likely be locked into the fourth seed in the AFC heading into their afternoon contest. They may rest some starters, which would be beneficial to the Tennessee offense.
The Titan passing game has been the most efficient in the NFL under Ryan Tannhill, who is averaging 9.6 yards per attempt, a full yard higher than the second-best quarterback. Due to his 10.4% sack rate, he is second in adjusted net yards per pass attempt to Patrick Mahomes. Brown has been Tannehill’s top target, being responsible for 21% of targets and 30% of air yards since Tanny took over in Week 7.
3. Patrick Mahomes ($7,200)/Tyreek Hill ($7,700), Chiefs vs. Chargers
It is easy to forget about Mahomes, who is the highest-priced quarterback on the slate, and has had a disappointing season relative to what he did last year, but not relative to his peers. Mahomes is still top-five in both passing yards and passing touchdowns per game, despite dealing with an injury earlier this season, and spending a chunk of the year without his top receiver. The Chiefs are also another team that needs a win this week. They can earn the second seed in the AFC with a win and Patriots loss. Both teams play at 1:00 PM EST.
The Chargers are just 21st in pass defense DVOA, and even though they have been better with Derwin James back in the fold, that likely matters less against a passing game of this quality. Over the past seven weeks with both a healthy Mahomes and Hill, the star receiver is first in air yards and second in targets. He has at least 25 DKFP in three games already this year.
2. Carson Wentz ($6,100)/Greg Ward ($4,700), Eagles at Giants
Wentz is on the other end of the Dallas situation, with the Eagles needing a win to lock down the NFC East. They will be facing the lowly Giants, who rank 31st in pass defense DVOA. Since Week 11, the Eagles have been fourth in pass percentage, which is a bit of a surprise given how decimated their receiving core has been in the second half of the season.
Speaking of that group, Ward should open Week 17 as the Eagles top wideout with Nelson Agholor out yet again. Helping his cause even more is the loss of Zach Ertz, who has been ruled out as well. Ward is in line to see a ton of targets. He has well outplayed J.J. Arcega-Whiteside. Not only is this a concentrated offense, but the stack is cheap, which will allow you to fit in a couple of high-end studs set to crush on Sunday.
1. Jameis Winston ($6,600)/Justin Watson ($4,900), Bucs vs. Falcons
I’m breaking my streak of team motivation with my top stack, but Winston has different and more personal motivation heading into Sunday. He has 4,908 passing yards on the year, 569 away from the all-time record. That could be a little too far out of reach, but Winston already has three games this season with at least 400 yards passing. He could certainly push to at least get into the top-five on the all-time list.
The Falcons are out of the playoffs, but have typically played out the string in Week 17 under this coaching staff. Atlanta is 26th in pass defense DVOA, so they certainly won’t be putting up much of a fight. The Bucs are another team with massive injuries to their pass-catchers, but Watson is coming off of a 10 target performance in which he saw 161 air yards and also scored a touchdown. Much like the Philly stack, this is cheap with an easy run-back (Julio Jones), while still allowing for an additional stud.
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