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Breaking down early Week 17 line movement on Saturday

Final injury reports arrive soon for Week 17, and we’ll find out more about which teams will rest starters on Sunday. Speculation is leading to notable movement.

Quarterback Kirk Cousins of the Minnesota Vikings leaves the field after the game against the Los Angeles Chargers at Dignity Health Sports Park on December 15, 2019 in Carson, California. Photo by Jayne Kamin-Oncea/Getty Images

The NFL wrapped up its practice week on Friday, and along with final injury reports, we got a better handle on some of the players that might rest in the season finale. Playoff teams locked into a specific seeding are more inclined to rest players in a meaningless game, which swings point spreads considerably.

The biggest line movement at DraftKings Sportsbook this week belongs to Bears-Vikings. Minnesota opened as a touchdown favorite but that line had started creeping down fairly quickly. The Vikings are locked in as the No. 6 seed, so it would make sense to rest some starters. DK Sportsbook dropped it to -1 as of Friday morning before a report dropped that the team was “leaning heavily towards resting a bulk of their starters” on Sunday. The line is now Bears -3.

The Titans-Texans line remains volatile. The Texans can still claim the No. 3 seed instead of the No. 4 seed, but would need the Chiefs to lose at home to the Chargers. With DeShaun Watson, DeAndre Hopkins, Kenny Stills, Laremy Tunsil, Bradley Roby, and a host of other players listed as questionable, there is some thought they’ll rest some players since they can’t earn a bye. Tennessee opened as a 1.5-point road favorite, the line climbed to five, dropped to 3.5, and is now at 5.5. Houston will know by kickoff if they’ve got a shot at the three seed, so if that is not an option, they could still decide to rest players. It makes for a difficult betting line.

Here’s a full rundown of point spread as of Saturday morning at 9:00 a.m. We’ll keep track of the extensive movement that is likely to happen.

Week 17 point spread movement

Game Opening line Monday 2pm Friday 8:30am Saturday 9am
Game Opening line Monday 2pm Friday 8:30am Saturday 9am
Jets @ Bills Jets -1 Bills -1 Bills -1 Pick 'em
Saints @ Panthers Saints -11.5 Saints -13 Saints -13 Saints -13
Dolphins @ Patriots Patriots -15.5 Patriots -16 Patriots -16 Patriots -16.6
Packers @ Lions Packers -9.5 Packers -10 Packers -12 Packers -12
Chargers @ Chiefs Chiefs -7.5 Chiefs -7.5 Chiefs -8 Chiefs -8.5
Falcons @ Buccaneers Bucs -2 Bucs -1 Bucs -2 Bucs -1
Bears @ Vikings Vikings -7 Vikings -7 Vikings -1 Bears -3
Browns @ Bengals Browns -3 Browns -3 Browns -3 Browns -3
Steelers @ Ravens Ravens -1 Ravens -1 Steelers -2 Steelers -2
Washington @ Cowboys Cowboys -10.5 Cowboys -10.5 Cowboys -10.5 Cowboys -11
Titans @ Texans Titans -1.5 Titans -5 Titans -3.5 Titans -5.5
Eagles @ Giants Eagles -4.5 Eagles -4.5 Eagles -4 Eagles -4
Cardinals @ Rams Rams -7.5 Rams -7.5 Rams -5 Rams -6
Raiders @ Broncos Broncos -4 Broncos -4 Broncos -3.5 Broncos -3.5
Colts @ Jaguars Colts -3 Colts -3.5 Colts -3.5 Colts -3.5
49ers @ Seahawks 49ers -1.5 49ers -3.5 49ers -3.5 49ers -3.5