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Two overvalued defense/special teams plays for wild card DFS

We take a look at the overvalued defense/special teams choices in this weekend’s four-game DFS slate for the NFL’s wild card round.

Buffalo Bills strong safety Kurt Coleman breaks up a pass intended for New York Jets wide receiver Robby Anderson as cornerback Taron Johnson looks on during the fourth quarter at New Era Field. Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports

Wild card weekend is one of the best football weekends of the year for real football, but it also brings us a nice four-game slate in DFS. There are some quality value defense/special teams picks, but also some selections you might want to be wary of. We broke down what defense/special teams choices in this weekend’s slate could be overvalued.

Buffalo Bills ($3,200)

Buffalo has had one of the best defensive seasons in the NFL, as both its pass and run defense ranked in the top 10. Only three teams — the Pittsburgh Steelers, New England Patriots, and San Francisco 49ers — gave up fewer passing yards in 2019. But we feel like the Bills will be challenged by the Houston Texans’ dynamic duo of Deshaun Watson and DeAndre Hopkins come Saturday.

The Texans improved their pass protection this year and Watson would’ve had a chance to set career highs in passing yards and passing touchdowns had he played in Week 16. He and Hopkins were already one of the best tandems in the NFL before Houston upgraded its line, and playing at home should give them an advantage against Buffalo.

Philadelphia Eagles ($2,900)

Philadelphia’s defense improved throughout the year, but its secondary remains a major weakness, even if it should benefit from having home field advantage against the Seattle Seahawks. Seattle finished just outside the top 10 in offense. It finished in 11th while putting up 24.9 points per game in the regular season.

Russell Wilson is coming to town, and while his team’s running back situation isn’t ideal, he should still be able to spread the ball around just fine. Tyler Lockett might the go-to guy in the receiving corps, but Wilson makes it tough for opposing defenses to key in on one player. Philadelphia will have to work hard to stop Wilson from finding the best places to expose its secondary.