Two teams that played last Thursday will meet on this week’s TNF in a game that will oddly determine a lot for the NFC playoff race. While the Bears haven’t received nearly as much hype as the Cowboys throughout the season, both teams sit at 6-6. Between their combined 12 wins, just once did either team beat an opponent that currently has a winning record (Bears over the Vikings in Week 4). It will surely be a battle of mediocrity, but a battle nonetheless.
Through his first seven starts this season, Mitchell Trubisky (DraftKings Showdown salary $8,800) failed to throw a touchdown in five of them. Over the past four games, he’s thrown at least one in each (eight total). Allen Robinson ($9,600) has been one of the biggest beneficiaries, going 14-217-2 over his last two outings. Dak Prescott ($10,800) and the Dallas offense rank first in yards per game and eighth in scoring. If the Cowboys erupt offensively, which we know it’s capable of doing, Trubisky will have no choice but to get A-Rob involved.
What’s likelier to happen, though, is not a wide receiver shootout. Instead, we could see a lot of running back usage in the passing game since both defenses are some of the more generous in that category. The Cowboys are equal-seventh and the Bears are fifth in most receptions to RBs allowed. With Tarik Cohen ($6,600) on the Chicago side and Ezekiel Elliott ($11,200) for Dallas, the weapons certainly exist.
Considering the Bears’ tendency to slow the game down and the Cowboys’ recent run of low score lines, it feels like the point total is a bit high to take the over. With that said, I’ll roll with the Cowboys to cover and the under.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
Cowboys at Bears
Point Spread: Bears +2.5
Total Points: 43
Money Line: Cowboys -148; Bears +123
Overall: Cowboys 6-6; Bears 6-6
ATS: Cowboys 7-5; Bears 3-9
O/U: Cowboys 7-5; Bears 4-8
- OUT: S Jeff Heath (shoulder), LB Leighton Vander Esch (neck), DT Antwaun Woods (knee)
- Questionable: RB Tony Pollard (ankle)
- OUT: TE Ben Braunecker (concussion), WR Taylor Gabriel (concussion), OL Bobby Massie (ankle), LB Danny Trevathan (elbow)
- Doubtful: DB Prince Amukamara (hamstring)
Notable Prop Bets
- Dak Prescott over 274.5 passing yards: -112
- Ezekiel Elliott over 80.5 rushing yards: -112
- Randall Cobb over 3.5 receptions: -135
- Mitchell Trubisky over 235.5 passing yards: -112
- David Montgomery over 58.5 rushing yards: -112
- Anthony Miller to score a touchdown (no Taylor Gabriel): +1300
- The Cowboys have won seven of their last eight December games against NFC opponents.
- The Bears have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games.
- Each of the Cowboys’ last seven games against NFC North opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- The Bears have won the first quarter in five of their last six games as home underdogs.
- Ezekiel Elliott has scored the first touchdown in three of the Cowboys’ last four Thursday games as favorites.
- Ezekiel Elliott has scored at least one touchdown in six of his last seven appearances in road games against NFC opponents.
- Amari Cooper has scored a touchdown in each of the Cowboys’ last two night games.
- Allen Robinson II has scored a touchdown in each of the Bears’ last two games.
Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.
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