Saturday’s mid-afternoon SEC Championship showdown between the LSU Tigers and Georgia Bulldogs will likely determine whether or not teams like Oklahoma, Baylor or Utah have a legitimate argument in the College Football Playoff. LSU is likely in regardless but if Georgia were to pull off the upset, it would be tough for the committee to keep the Bulldogs out.
LSU is looking to cap off a magical regular season in which everything has gone right for them in 2019. Joe Burrow is a massive favorite to win the Heisman Trophy, and the Tigers would be in the discussion with Ohio State to be the top team in college football heading into the Playoff.
For Georgia, the Bulldogs have just been beating teams week after week with its defense while the offense has seemed to take a step back this season. Luckily for them, it only cost them one game, a stunning loss to South Carolina early in the season.
Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming
The SEC Championship will begin at 4:00 p.m. ET in Atlanta on Saturday and can be seen on CBS.
Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends
Spread: LSU (-7.5) vs. Georgia
Point Total: 54.5 O/U (-110)
Money line: Tigers (-305), Ducks (+240)
- Despite playing in the same conference, LSU and Georgia played each other once in the past six years, a 36-16 Tiger win in 2018.
- The point total has gone under in six of Georgia’s last seven games.
- This is the third time teams are meeting in the SEC Championship. LSU has the 2-1 edge.
Pick against the spread
The motivation factor is the biggest aspect of this one. LSU has essentially locked up a spot in the top four with its incredible resume, while Georgia needs a win to get in. The Bulldogs have so much more to play for and if Kirby Smart is as good of a coach as we think he is, the Georgia should be ready for this one. Not to mention, this one is being played in Atlanta, which should lead to a pro-Georgia crowd.
This will be a complete contrast in college, which is what makes college football great. Georgia comes in with a great defense and an average offense, while LSU’s offense has been incredible, although the defense struggles at times.
Given all these factors, I cannot pass up giving Georgia more than a touchdown in this spot, and there is value to throwing a little cash on the moneyline.
Pick: Georgia +7.5
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Odds and lines subject to change. See website for details.