It’s fantastic to see Dabo Swinney playing the “nobody believes in us” card after blowing out Alabama in last year’s national championship and absolutely rolling through its ACC competition in 2019. We’ll see if it works on Saturday night when it comes to covering a 28.5-point spread against what might be the toughest team the Clemson Tigers have played this season.
The future is bright for the Virginia Cavaliers coming off a win over Virginia Tech for the first time since 2003 to get into this position. This team is clearly buying into what Bronco Mendenhall is selling because in his four years in Virginia, the Hoos went from two wins to six wins to eight wins to nine wins. The program continues to improve year after year, and Mendenhall might be the most underappreciated coach in the sport.
Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming
The ACC Championship will begin at 7:30 p.m. ET in Charlotte on Saturday and can be seen on ABC.
Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends
Spread: Clemson (-28.5) vs. Virginia
Point Total: 54.5 O/U (-110)
Money line: Tigers (-5000), Cavaliers (+1300)
- Clemson has covered in six of its last seven games, while Virginia has covered in four its its last six.
- If Virginia is put in the top 25 of the College Football Playoff rankings on Tuesday night, this will be the only ranked team on Clemson’s schedule in 2019.
- The point total has gone over in five of the last six games for Virginia.
Pick against the spread
This is such a big number, but I still think Clemson wins by more than four touchdowns in this game. Virginia’s biggest struggles come on its offensive line, and Clemson should be in the backfield all night long. While the Tigers beat 10 of their opponents by 31 points or more, Virginia has just skated by in its wins.
In the month of November, Virginia gave up 116 points. Clemson has given up 121 points this season. The massive spread in a conference title game might scare some people off, but the value is on the Tigers here because Clemson has the advantage in every area in this game.
Pick: Clemson -28.5
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Odds and lines subject to change. See website for details.