Once thought to be tanking, and assumed to be destined for the top overall pick, the Dolphins now have amassed three wins on the year, including this past weekend against the Eagles. Miami now has almost no shot at the top overall pick, and could find themselves outside of the top five soon enough. The catalyst for this team, at least offensively, has clearly been Ryan Fitzpatrick.
With Fitzpatrick: 7.04 yards per pass attempt, 46.6% pass success rate, 9% sack rate
Without Fitzpatrick: 5.67 yards per pass attempt, 37.6% pass success rate, 13.5% sack rate
What the Harvard veteran is doing as part of a team otherwise filled with extreme youth is quite impressive. Miami still doesn’t play much defense, coming in dead last in Football Outsiders DVOA, but they should continue to be involved in some pretty fun contests with a chance to steal wins.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
The Jets just continue to disappoint. Heading into Week 13, the team still had a punchers chance of making the playoffs, and an extremely soft schedule ahead of them. But after giving the Bengals their first win of the season, they will return home with not much to play for outside of bragging rights (and Adam Gase’s job). The Jets have played better at home in 2019, averaging 3.35 more points per game, and 3.1 less points allowed in games Sam Darnold has participated in. They are 10th in defensive DVOA, including second against the run. However, being just 21st against the pass may be a problem against a Dolphin team that throws the ball roughly 65% of the time under Fitzpatrick.
Dolphins at Jets
Point Spread: Dolphins +5.5
Total Points: 45
Money Line: Dolphins +185; Jets -230
Overall: Dolphins 3-9; Jets 4-8
ATS: Dolphins 6-6; Jets 5-7
O/U: Dolphins 6-6; Jets 6-6
- Nobody on final injury report
- Out: CB Brian Poole (concussion)
- Doubtful: S Jamal Adams (ankle), T Chuma Edoga (knee), S Matthias Farley (ankle, rib), CB Arthur Maulet (calf)
- Questionable: DE Henry Anderson (shoulder), T Kelvin Beachum (ankles), RB Le’Veon Bell (illness), CB Maurice Canady (illness, quadricep), TE Ryan Griffin (illness), DT Steve McLendon (knee, hip), WR Demaryius Thomas (hamstring), LB Paul Worrilow (quadricep)
- The Dolphins have lost each of their last seven road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Jets’ last five games.
- Each of the Jets’ last four home games against AFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
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Odds and lines subject to change. See website for details.