Quarterback pricing is relatively low at the moment, so paying up for a quarterback you like won’t kill your chances of adding an expensive running back this week. There aren’t many smash spots, as there aren’t any games with an over/under that tops 50 points, which is an anomaly. We should see a good variety of ownership percentages this week at DraftKings.
Aaron Rodgers, Packers ($6,800)
Rodgers is coming off a four-touchdown game against the Giants and now returns to Lambeau to take on a bad Washington pass defense. Rodgers has been matchup and home dependent, putting up good stats at home and against especially bad opponents. This week he gets the best of both worlds. The Packers could run the ball and slow this game down with a lead, but Rodgers has been getting his stats in blowouts, so I think that continues this week.
Lamar Jackson, Ravens ($7,400)
Playing the Bills in Buffalo isn’t the most-conducive matchup for quarterback fantasy points, but Lamar Jackson is matchup proof. Last week he only threw for 105 yards and one touchdown against the 49ers but stacked 101 rushing yards and another score on his stat line to give him 26.3 DK points. His price is the highest for quarterbacks, but still low for his consistent upside. This is probably the worst matchup for Jackson, but that doesn’t mean you don’t play him in daily fantasy. The Bills sell out to stop the pass, so they give up good yardage on the ground, and now they have to manage Mark Ingram and Jackson on the ground.
Baker Mayfield, Browns ($6,300)
Mayfield has come on of late with nine touchdowns in his last four games. He’s also been playing well in Cleveland, putting up good games against the Bills and Steelers at home, two of the toughest defenses in the league. This week he heads back home to take on the tanking Bengals, who allow the seventh-most fantasy points to quarterbacks. Since adding Kareem Hunt to the offense, Mayfield has an outlet target who makes things happen after the catch. Adding him to Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham Jr. has helped his efficiency.
Kirk Cousins, Lions ($6,700)
Cousins has played well since the team started letting him pass the ball again, and his best game this year was in Detroit when he threw for 338 yards and four touchdowns. He’ll take them on again, at home this week, and the only thing stopping him from another huge day will be his team scoring on the ground instead of through the air. I’m willing to take that risk, as he’s thrown 20 touchdowns in his last eight games, with only one of those games not hitting multiple touchdown passes.
I am an avid fan and user (my username is cogresha) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.