There aren’t any smash value plays this week, as Dalvin Cook looks like he will go, pushing Alexander Mattison out of the equation and DraftKings pricing mostly doing a good job of keeping any top plays from dipping into value. But we do have some plays worth checking out below 6k this week.
Mark Ingram, Ravens ($5,900)
After two big games, Ingram predictably fell back to earth against a stout 49ers defense last week. He seems to score touchdowns in bunches and his workload isn’t the same as some other No. 1 backs, but his upside is great and there’s a good chance the Ravens will need him against Buffalo’s strong pass defense. The Bills sell out to stop the pass and they’ve done a good job, limiting quarterbacks to the third-fewest fantasy points in the league. But that does open up running lanes and so will the presence of Lamar Jackson. DVOA has the Bills ranked fifth against the pass and 22nd against the run. Ingram should be a big part of the Raven’s offense this week.
James White, Patriots ($5,500)/Sony Michel, Patriots ($5,600)
Both of the Patriots backs have a great matchup against the Chiefs at home and both can have fantasy value but we probably don’t want to play both in our lineups. White is RB15 in PPR leagues this season and got a huge boost last week when he hit 177 yards, eight receptions and two touchdowns for an enormous 37.7 DK points against the Texans. His 22 touches were by far his highest of the season as well. The Texans’ weakness is receiving running backs, so it makes sense he got an uptick, but the Chiefs are also poor at stopping receiving running backs and rushing running backs as well. Last season, Sony Michel was the key in beating Kansas City, as Bill Belichick slowed the game down and ran Michel 24 times for 106 yards and two touchdowns. That could be the plan once again this week. I like both, as White will get his receptions, upping his DK points and Michel should get a chance to run against one of the worst run defenses in the league.
Devonta Freeman, Falcons ($5,400)
Freeman had 21 touches for 64 yards last week against a tough Saints defense but this week he’ll face the Panthers, who were recently run over by Washington, even though they new the run was coming every time. Carolina has allowed the most fantasy points to running backs this season, with an astounding 22 touchdowns. Freeman isn’t a lock by any means this season, but his workload has looked good and the matchup can’t get much better.
Patrick Laird, Dolphins ($4,100)
Laird will be the lead back against the Jets with Kalen Ballage out, so he deserves a little love. I have no faith in him rushing for any yardage but he’s shown an ability to catch the ball and Ryan Fitzpatrick throws the ball more percentage-wise than any quarterback in the league.
I am an avid fan and user (my username is cogresha) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.