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While some fantastic spots stick out for defenses in Week 2, it’s also important to identify the worst spots on DraftKings’ 13-game main slate Sunday. Here are the defenses I’m staying away from under any and all circumstances.
Seattle Seahawks (@PIT) — $2,900
The Seahawks managed 12 DKFP in Week 1, but in a far different situation. Seattle was at home against a Bengals offense missing A.J. Green (foot) while being favored by 9.0 points. This time around, Seattle will be in Pittsburgh against an offense that we can’t overlook.
Yes, the three-point dud in New England in Week 1 didn’t look great, but the Steelers are typically much better at home. The Pats’ defense has the makings of an elite one, while Seattle could really underperform.
San Francisco 49ers (@CIN) — $2,800
This is a spot you just don’t want to get suckered into in Week 2. The Niners had a historically poor defense in 2018, with the secondary recording just two interceptions. While I expect them to be better in 2019, they’re not as good as the 27 DKFP they scored on the last slate.
Jameis Winston is much more responsible for the points the 49ers D/ST scored, thanks to a pair of pick-six throws — 16 DKFP right there. It’s tempting to play a “hot” defense against a Bengals offense we perceived to be poor entering Week 1. While the Bengals aren’t anything special offensively, they showed enough last week that they’re capable of putting up points under the new coaching staff. It’s also worth considering that San Francisco will be playing a second straight road game on the other side of the country to begin the season.
Miami Dolphins (vs. NE) — $2,100
This one’s too obvious, but don’t try and get cute and dig down for a bottom priced D/ST … and if you do, play anyone but Miami. The Patriots lit up a strong Pittsburgh defense in Week 1, while the Dolphins got torched by Baltimore for 59 points. The Patriots are 18.5-point favorites in this one, and while they could always just run the clock out in the second-half, we can’t risk having them put up a Ravens-esque performance. The Steelers ($2,400) are a much more attractive play if you need value, and are unexplainably cheaper than the visiting Seahawks ($2,900).
I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is jedlow) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.