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Daniel Jones powers Giants’ outright upset of the Bucs in Week 3

Daniel Jones makes his starting debut for the Giants as they travel to face the Bucs in Week 3. We break down some key odds numbers, including the point spread and past performances.

Quarterback Daniel Jones of the New York Giants drops back to pass during the preseason game against the Cincinnati Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium on August 22, 2019 in Cincinnati, Ohio. Photo by Michael Hickey/Getty Images

Editor’s update: What a wild one in Tampa. The Giants entered the day as 6.5-point underdogs, and a strong first half by Jameis Winston had them trailing 28-10 at the half. Additionally, they had lost Saquon Barkley to an ankle injury. However, the team rallied in the second half behind rookie quarterback Daniel Jones. He threw for 336 yards and two touchdowns, and scrambled for two more, including on the game-winning drive near the end of the fourth quarter. The Bucs shockingly drove down to a goal to go situation in Giants territory, only to miss a 34-yard field goal as time expired. The Giants won 32-31, covering the spread outright.

Outside of the Dolphins, the Giants have been the worst team in the NFL to start the year. They are 0-2, and have a disastrous -32 point differential, losing each of their first two games by two or more touchdowns. But there is a massive change coming to the roster this week. First round pick Daniel Jones will be replacing Eli Manning as the starter for Big Blue, something that will hopefully spark a Giants offense that has scored a pedestrian 31 points in two games. Jones was dominant in the pre-season, completing 85.3% of his passes and averaging 12.2 yards per attempt. In context, he did a lot of that against second-string competition, but it is certainly positive for Jones’ outlook.

Tampa Bay got routed by the 49ers in Week 1 before beating a broken-down Cam Newton and the Panthers on Thursday night to kickoff Week 2. This team is still a bit of an enigma as we head into Week 3. Something that definitely has to change, however, is the play of Jameis Winston, who is in the final year of his rookie contract with the Bucs. He is averaging just 6.6 yards per attempt, and has thrown three interceptions to go with only 402 passing yards and two touchdowns. Tampa will need more out of him if the team wants to find success, and the Giants are a great place to start that revival. New York has the 31st-ranked pass defense based on Football Outsiders’ DAVE metric.

All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.

Giants at Bucs

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Giants +6.5
Total Points: 48
Money Line: Bucs -278; Giants +240


Overall 2018: Giants 5-11; Bucs 5-11
ATS 2018: Giants 8-7-1; Bucs 7-7-2
O/U 2018: Giants 9-7; Bucs 9-7

Overall 2019: Giants 0-2; Bucs 1-1
ATS 2019: Giants 0-2; Bucs 1-1
O/U 2019: Giants 1-1; Bucs 0-2

Notable Prop Bets

Giants Total Touchdowns - Over 2.5 +125, Under 2.5 -167
Bucs Total Points - Over 26.5 -129, Under 26.5 +100
Total Yards of Shortest Touchdown - Over 1.5 +115, Under 1.5 -155
Total Touchdowns - Over 5.5 +108, Under 5.5 -148

Betting Trends

  • The Buccaneers have lost 10 of their last 11 September games as favorites.
  • The Giants have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games.
  • Seven of the Buccaneers’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total points line.

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Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.
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