This feels like a new era for the Steelers. Le’Veon Bell is with the Jets, Antonio Brown is with the Patriots, and now Ben Roethlisberger is out for the season with an elbow injury. For years, the three B’s were a staple of fantasy football and now it seems that Pittsburgh is getting close to a rebuild. For the time being, the franchise is in the hands of second year quarterback Mason Rudolph.
Rudolph could be a competent quarterback, although I think we see a different strategy from the Steelers than we have seen in recent seasons. As opposed the high scoring games from previous years, I think we are going to see a more defensive oriented game plan. Slow the game down on offense by running the football and try to win games with a tougher defense. Pittsburgh traded for Minkah Fitzpatrick during the week to sure up their passing defense.
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For the 49ers, they have gotten off to a strong start. They won their first two games, each by at least two touchdown and both were road games. The competition (Bengals and Buccaneers) wasn’t particularly stiff, but they couldn’t have looked much better. Most importantly, Jimmy Garoppolo looks healthy after missing most of last season with a knee injury. He has a 104.8 passer rating and is averaging 8.9 yards per pass attempt. San Francisco is the third ranked team in the league by DVOA and it will be interesting to see if it can keep up this same level of play against tougher teams.
All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
Steelers at 49ers
Point Spread: Steelers +6.5
Total Points: 43
Money Line: Steelers +235; 49ers -278
Overall 2018 (2019): Steelers 9-6-1 (0-2); 49ers 4-12 (2-0)
ATS 2018 (2019): Steelers 8-7-1 (0-2); 49ers 5-11 (2-0)
O/U 2018 (2019): Steelers 8-8 (1-1); 49ers 9-7 (1-1)
Notable Prop Bets
Total Points - Over 23.5 -127, Under 23.5 -103
Total Touchdowns - Over 2.5 -122, Under 2.5 -109
Total Points - Over 17.5 -110, Under 17.5 -117
Total Touchdowns - Over 1.5 -195, Under 1.5 +145
First to 20 Points - Steelers +220; 49ers -162; Tie +425
- The Steelers have lost each of their last four road games.
- The 49ers have covered the spread in each of their last four games against AFC East opponents.
- Six of the Steelers’ last seven road games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Matt Breida has scored at least one touchdown in each of the 49ers’ last three home games as favorites.
- George Kittle has scored a touchdown in each of the 49ers’ last three home games against AFC opponents.
- James Conner has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last three appearances against NFC opponents.
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Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.
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