The Falcons lost in Week 3, but it was arguably their best game of the season. Matt Ryan put up a 121.2 QB Rating, while Devonta Freeman more than doubled his two-game rushing totals. Meanwhile, the Titans looked dreadful in their Thursday night loss to the Jaguars. Both teams enter this game with a 1-2 record, but these are two teams heading in opposite directions.
The Titans have needed a heavy dose of Derrick Henry just to remain competitive, as Marcus Mariota looks increasingly unfit for the role of starting QB. Henry is a powerful runner, but he has minimal ability to create space on his own. As defenses get less concerned with Mariota, they’ll focus more on stopping the run, and Henry might not be capable of producing against stacked boxes. The Falcons have been a top-eight defense by total yards and pass yards allowed.
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The Titans’ biggest strength has been their defense, though the schedule has done them some favors. They’ve allowed the third-fewest passing yards per game, but the Falcons are the first team they’ve faced with an above-average passing attack. The Falcons are sixth in pass yards per game.
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Titans at Falcons
Point Spread: Titans +4
Total Points: 45.5
Money Line: Falcons -200; Titans +170
Overall: Titans 1-2; Falcons 1-2
ATS: Titans 1-2; Falcons 1-2
O/U: Titans 1-2; Falcons 1-2
Notable Prop Bets
Titans to score first touchdown: +108
Total yards of longest successful field goal over 46.5: -115
First team to score 20 points: -139
Money line and total points parlay, Falcons and under: +185
- The Falcons have lost each of their last seven games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
- The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 12 games against AFC opponents.
- Each of the Falcons’ last nine September games as home favorites have gone over the total points line.
- Derrick Henry has scored the first touchdown in each of the Titans’ last two games against NFC opponents
- Julio Jones has scored the last touchdown in each of the Falcons’ last three games.
- Julio Jones has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Falcons’ last seven games.
- Delanie Walker has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four appearances with the Titans as road underdogs against NFC opponents.
- Calvin Ridley has scored a touchdown in four of the Falcons’ last five games.
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Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.
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