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Chiefs do just enough for Week 4 win over game Lions squad

The unexpectedly unbeaten Lions host the Chiefs in their biggest game of the season. We break down the odds, including the point spread, recent trends, and betting history.

Detroit Lions wide receiver Kenny Golladay celebrates with quarterback Matthew Stafford after combining for a touchdown during the fourth quarter against the Arizona Cardinals at Ford Field. Raj Mehta-USA TODAY Sports

Editor’s update 4:36 p.m.: The Kansas City Chiefs remain unbeaten, but the Detroit Lions gave them just about everything they could manage. Detroit jumped out to an early 10-0 lead before Kansas City fought back. KC tied it and looked ready to blow things open, but could not find consistency for much of the game. Detroit took a 30-27 lead with 2:26 to go on a crazy Kenny Golladay touchdown catch, and they had the Chiefs in desperation mode. However, Patrick Mahomes made some big passes in what had otherwise been a relatively quiet day. He got the Chiefs down into a goal-to-go situation before Darrel Williams punched in the winning touchdown. Kansas City improves to 4-0, while Detroit drops to 2-1-1.

There are two matchups in Week 4 that have two undefeated teams pitted against each other. In Buffalo, the Bills host the Patriots, while in Detroit, the Lions welcome the Chiefs. Granted, the Lions are 2-0-1, but they’re undefeated nonetheless. It looked like the start of another below average season after tying the Cardinals in the opener. But two wins against favored teams (Chargers and Eagles) have catapulted Detroit into relevance. Much like any object that shoots out of a catapult, though, the Lions will be crashing back down to Earth once they play the Chiefs.

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The last time these two linked up in Michigan was back in 2011. The Lions won 48-3. And in 2015 in Kansas City, the Chiefs won 45-10. This time around might be a bit closer in terms of scoreline, but the Chiefs should be cruising back to Kansas City with a 4-0 record. With the highest point total of any game in Week 4, it’s likely going to be a shootout. But then again, it feels like every game that features the Chiefs is going to be a shootout. Patrick Mahomes (DFS salary $7,500) is just that good. People have used a lot of adjectives to describe him, but I’m not even going to try. Mahomes leads the league in passing yards per game and TDs, and there’s no reason he’ll slow up this week.

On the other sideline, we have Matthew Stafford ($5,500,) who ranks in the top-10 in passing yards per game and touchdowns thrown. His favorite target, Kenny Golladay ($5,900,) was quiet last week, but Marvin Jones Jr. ($5,400) was there to pick up the slack, posting a 6-101-1 stat line. Both receivers will be heavily involved in this one, especially since the Lions will be trying to keep up with the high-scoring Chiefs.

In order for this game to hit the over, I think the Lions will need to score at least two touchdowns. They are fully capable of doing so. Perhaps this is finally the week that Kerryon Johnson ($5,400) becomes the running back that so many people think he can be. I’m going to say that the Chiefs will definitely cover the 6.5-point spread, but Kerryon and Kenny will find the endzone at least once apiece for Detroit.

All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.

Chiefs at Lions

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Lions +6.5
Total Points: 54.5
Money Line: Chiefs -315; Lions +265

Records

Overall: Chiefs 3-0; Lions 2-0-1
ATS: Chiefs 3-0; Lions 2-1
O/U: Chiefs 2-1; Lions 2-1

Notable Prop Bets

Chiefs:

  • Patrick Mahomes to throw over 2.5 pass TDs: -112
  • Travis Kelce to score a TD and team to win: +110

Lions:

  • Kerryon Johnson to score a TD: -112
  • Kenny Golladay to score a TD: +110

Betting Trends

  • The Chiefs have won each of their last 14 day games.
  • The Lions have covered the spread in each of their last five September games as underdogs.
  • Each of the Lions’ last six home games have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Travis Kelce has scored at least one touchdown in four of the Chiefs’ last five Sunday day games as road favorites.
  • Kerryon Johnson has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four appearances with the Lions as underdogs.
  • LeSean McCoy has scored at least one touchdown in each of his three previous appearances against the Lions.

Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.
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