clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Breaking down Super Bowl 54 odds week-by-week

The launch of the 2019 regular season gets us moving on the road to Super Bowl 54. We break down odds to win the Lombardi Trophy, updated as each week moves along.

Lombardi Trophy for Super Bowl victor

Super Bowl 54 odds, week-by-week

Team Post-Week 6 Post-Week 4 Post-Week 3 Post-Week 2 Post-Week 1 Pre-Week 1 Pre-Preseason Post-Draft Post-FA Opening (2/4)
Team Post-Week 6 Post-Week 4 Post-Week 3 Post-Week 2 Post-Week 1 Pre-Week 1 Pre-Preseason Post-Draft Post-FA Opening (2/4)
NE Patriots +260 +325 +350 +333 +400 +700 +700 +700 +750 +750
NO Saints +700 +1200 +1400 +1400 +750 +900 +1000 +900 +900 +750
KC Chiefs +900 +500 +550 +700 +700 +800 +850 +750 +750 +750
GB Packers +1100 +1800 +1200 +1600 +1750 +2200 +2000 +2000 +2200 +2500
SF 49ers +1300 +2200 +2200 +3300 +3300 +4000 +4000 +3300 +3300 +3300
PHI Eagles +1700 +1300 +2000 +1400 +1100 +1200 +1300 +1600 +1600 +1600
SEA Seahawks +1800 +3000 +3300 +2500 +2500 +3000 +3000 +2500 +2500 +2500
LA Rams +1800 +1200 +800 +900 +1100 +900 +1000 +900 +900 +750
DAL Cowboys +2000 +1200 +1300 +1300 +1750 +2200 +2500 +2200 +2200 +2500
MIN Vikings +2000 +3000 +2200 +2700 +2200 +2800 +2800 +2200 +2200 +2200
BAL Ravens +2200 +2300 +2200 +2000 +2500 +3300 +3300 +2500 +2500 +2200
HOU Texans +2200 +3300 +2500 +3300 +3000 +2200 +3300 +3000 +3000 +2800
CHI Bears +2800 +2100 +2000 +2800 +2500 +1600 +1800 +1600 +1600 +1700
CAR Panthers +3000 +4000 +5000 +8000 +5000 +5000 +5000 +5000 +5000 +6600
IND Colts +3300 +5000 +4000 +6600 +8000 +5000 +1400 +1400 +1400 +1400
CLE Browns +4000 +2600 +3000 +2000 +2200 +1400 +1400 +1400 +1400 +2000
BUF Bills +4000 +4000 +4000 +6600 +6600 +8000 +8000 +10000 +10000 +7500
LA Chargers +6000 +2600 +2500 +2500 +1750 +1400 +1600 +1500 +1500 +1400
DET Lions +8000 +6000 +5000 +6600 +15000 +10000 +10000 +12500 +12500 +10000
PIT Steelers +8000 +6600 +8000 +6000 +2500 +1800 +2200 +2000 +2000 +2200
OAK Raiders +8000 +12500 +12500 +8000 +8000 +8000 +7500 +7500 +7500 +12500
TEN Titans +10000 +5000 +7000 +5000 +4000 +5000 +6600 +6000 +6000 +6000
JAX Jaguars +10000 +6000 +7000 +8000 +10000 +3300 +4000 +3500 +3500 +4000
TB Buccaneers +12500 +6600 +6600 +6600 +10000 +7500 +7500 +6600 +6600 +4000
NY Giants +15000 +6600 +8000 +10000 +10000 +8000 +7000 +6000 +6000 +4000
DEN Broncos +15000 +30000 +12500 +10000 +10000 +6600 +6600 +6600 +6600 +7500
ATL Falcons +20000 +8000 +3300 +2500 +4000 +3000 +3000 +2500 +2500 +2500
ARI Cardinals +35000 +30000 +15000 +15000 +15000 +12500 +15000 +12500 +12500 +10000
NY Jets +35000 +12500 +12500 +12500 +8000 +6000 +6000 +5000 +5000 +7500
Washington +75000 +40000 +25000 +15000 +15000 +12500 +10000 +10000 +10000 +10000
CIN Bengals +100000 +50000 +20000 +20000 +15000 +15000 +12500 +12500 +12500 +12500
MIA Dolphins +150000 +100000 +50000 +50000 +25000 +15000 +12500 +15000 +15000 +15000

Week 5 Super Bowl odds

The NFL kicks off Week 5 on Thursday with a huge matchup of 3-1 NFC West squads. The Seahawks and Rams are tied and finding themselves a half game back of the 49ers, who are coming off a bye and face the Cleveland Browns on Monday Night Football. The Arizona Cardinals are winless with one tie, but overall, the NFC West is looking rather competitive across the board.

With the opening of Week 5, we’re back with Super Bowl odds reflecting results from Week 4. All odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook.

Three undefeateds, two favorites

While the 49ers join the Patriots and Chiefs as the only undefeated teams in the NFL, it’s the latter two that are the biggest favorites to take home the Lombardi Trophy at Super Bowl 54. The 49ers are still a value at +2200, while the Patriots and Chiefs lead the way with +325 and +500 odds, respectively. The next closest after the Chiefs is the Rams, who are all the way back at +1200 following an ugly loss to the Buccaneers.

Big moves up

The Titans, Giants, and Panthers are the biggest movers from the bottom half of the 2020 Super Bowl odds. All three have their share of question marks, but managed big wins. Carolina has won two straight with Kyle Allen replacing an injured Cam Newton, but Allen fumbled three times in a close Week 4 win, so we’ll see how he builds on that. New York has won two straight since Daniel Jones took over as starter, but it’s hard to know what to make of wins over Tampa and Washington. The level of competition increases in Week 5 with a solid Vikings defense.

Big moves down

Atlanta is tumbling and it’s not pretty. They dropped from +3300 to +8000, and it could get worse. They travel to Houston this week, and then Arizona in Week 7. If they lose both road games, it might just be time to pack it in!

Week 5 matchup to watch

We get two big NFC matchups of 3-1 teams. Rams-Seahawks gets the week going on Thursday Night Football, and then Packers-Cowboys gets the Sunday afternoon game of the week slot. Seattle and LA are battling to maintain pace with the 49ers, while Green Bay and Dallas both sit atop their divisions. This weekend won’t make or break things, but they could provide key advantages in eventual tiebreaker scenarios.

Week 4 Super Bowl odds

The NFL wrapped up Week 3, which means bye weeks get going with the 49ers and Jets in Week 4. While those two teams rest up, we are seeing some teams settle at the top and bottom of weekly Super Bowl odds updates, while the middle is continuing to see a lot of movement.

Big moves up

The Panthers are the biggest mover this week, climbing from +8000 to +5000 after a rather surprising romp over the Cardinals. Carolina lost quarterback Cam Newton to a foot injury, and Kyle Allen looked impressive in his place. Allen gets the start again in Week 4.

The Bills and Colts were also big movers coming off important wins in Week 3. The Bills held off the Bengals, while the Colts edged out the Falcons. Buffalo is undefeated through three weeks, but hosts the Patriots in Week 4. It’s safe to say we’ll get a firm handle on where Buffalo stands after this matchup.

Big moves down

The Raiders Week 1 win over the Broncos seems like another season ago. They were thumped by the Chiefs in Week 2, and then by the Vikings in Week 3. Their odds slipped from +8000 to +12500, and now they travel to face a fairly hot Colts squad.

Week 4 matchup to watch

This is going to be a great week of quality games. Patriots-Bills and Chiefs-Lions are obvious choices for this slot given you’ve got an expected unbeaten Super Bowl contender hosting an unexpected unbeaten squad. Vikings-Bears makes sense in the battle for NFC North supremacy, while Browns-Ravens will be key in the AFC North.

But how about we look at a randomly intriguing inter-conference matchup between the 1-2 Titans and 1-2 Falcons? Both reside in divisions that are wide open due to injuries and retirements. The Titans are a game back of Houston and Indianapolis in the AFC South, while the Falcons a game back of the Saints in the NFC South. Divisional matchups are viewed as more important, but in some ways this is a must-win for both teams. They need to get in gear, and with both teams scuffling along, a loss would be a rough early blow to their playoff hopes.

Week 3 Super Bowl odds

The second season of the 2019 NFL season is a wrap, and huge news is shaking up Super Bowl odds. Ben Roethlisberger is out for the season with an elbow injury, and Drew Brees will undergo surgery on a thumb injury that will cost him at least six weeks. The Steelers traded for defensive back Minkah Fitzpatrick following the Roethlisberger news, but their Super Bowl 54 odds sank like a rock Monday afternoon. The Saints Super Bowl odds took a more modest hit, with DraftKings Sportsbook likely anticipating Teddy Bridgewater can keep them in playoff contention until Brees returns.

Patriots rolling, Dolphins ... not so much

The Patriots are the clear Super Bowl favorite following a demolition of the Dolphins. New England was favored all offseason, and improved to +400 after the Antonio Brown addition. Their thrashing of the Dolphins improved them to +333, with the Chiefs next at +700.

Meanwhile, the Dolphins now have +50000 odds to win the Super Bowl. They are trading away players left and right, and it would not be a surprise to see them dropped off the Super Bowl futures board in the next week or two.

Big moves up

The Falcons climbed to +2500 following a wild win over the Eagles. The Drew Brees injury means the NFC South is now very much wide-open, and the Falcons desperately needed a win over Philadelphia.

The Buccaneers and Lions both climbed to +6600. They remain significant longshots, but wins over the Panthers and Chargers, respectively, give them something to build on in Week 3. The Bucs are intriguing in the thick of the now Drew Brees-less NFC South. It buys Bruce Arians a little more time to get his team on track consistently.

Big moves down

The Saints and Steelers are the big droppers given the injuries they are dealing with at the quarterback position. The Jets also took a hit with Sam Darnold’ mono diagnosis and how awful they looked on Monday Night Football. I’m not sure how they’ll find an answer at the quarterback position with Darnold out.

Week 3 matchup to watch

The Ravens-Chiefs matchup is a potential AFC title game preview, but let’s go a little further down the odds list for Week 3. The Eagles host the Lions in a matchup with some early NFC implications. The 1-0-1 Lions edged out the Chargers 13-10 in Week 2, while the Eagles lost a wild one 24-20 in Atlanta. The Eagles are a touchdown favorite, and this game provides the Lions a chance to prove they are legit. They had the biggest boost in Super Bowl odds, but still are a tough one to figure out. This won’t make or break their season, but will give us a better handle on them.


Week 2 Super Bowl odds

The NFL wrapped up the first weekend of football, capping it with a ridiculously entertaining Saints-Texans game and an unexpected Raiders upset of the Broncos. Tuesday is a day off for most teams around the league, but there is no rest for the weary as folks figure out where they can find some Super Bowl value.

Super Bowl odds are updated at the DraftKings Sportsbook following Week 1, and we have some unexpected developments coupled with some obvious favorites and longshots. I’ve updated the spreadsheet below with odds as of Tuesday morning, and I want to take a look at some teams of note.

Patriots — and everybody else

The Patriots odds were moving as soon as word got out that they were signing Antonio Brown. They are settled at +400, but you could find them as low as +300 at some sportsbooks. There is a lot of football still to be played, but their demolition of the Steelers coupled with the coming addition of Brown points to a team that is going to be hard to bet against.

Big moves up

The Cowboys and Packers won divisional matchups to open the season and move firmly into the top ten of Super Bowl odds — both at +1750. The Bills remain long shots, but climbed to +6600 with a big road divisional win to open the season. The Titans are the other big mover, climbing to +4000 following a thorough road thumping of the Browns.

Big moves down

The Jaguars are the biggest drop by a long shot following word that Nick Foles suffered a broken collarbone and is going on injured reserve. Gardner Minshew was impressive in his place and will get a significant opportunity in the short term. That defense is impressive, so if you think we’ll see Foles get Wally Pipp’d, you can do worse than placing a few bucks on the Jaguars at +10000.

Week 2 matchup to watch

The Saints-Rams matchup is a big one for offering some clarity at the top of the futures odds, but the matchup that is more intriguing to me is Seahawks-Steelers in Pittsburgh. The Seahawks escaped with a home win over the Bengals while the Steelers were thumped by the Patriots. Both teams now sit at +2500 odds and face tough uphill fights in their divisions. They’re not the best of Super Bowl futures bets, but this Sunday could allow one to get some space in the odds.


The 2019 NFL season gets underway Thursday evening, so it is time to take one last look at the Super Bowl futures odds. We’ve got a full list of Super Bowl 54 odds from the DraftKings Sportsbook. We’ve tracked them back to immediately Super Bowl 53, including updated looks after free agency, after the 2019 NFL Draft, and then right before the preseason got going. We’ll be updating this article throughout the season.

Biggest change

We saw plenty of shuffling during the offseason, but one change stands out. The Indianapolis Colts opened the offseason at +1400, tied for the fifth best odds. They now sit at +5000 and tied for 19th. The sudden retirement of Andrew Luck was the difference here. Luck dealt with an ankle injury throughout training camp, but reports had him coming back sooner rather than later. Once he decided to call it quits, the bottom fell out on their futures odds.

Favorites

There are no surprises among the favorites. The New England Patriots, Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams, and New Orleans Saints have remained at the top of the odds all offseason. I contend the Saints are the most likely to take a step back this year, as I think Drew Brees is closer to taking a huge step back than some might think. You could place a bet on any of the other three teams and it would not be the worst decision.

Next set of teams

The Los Angeles Chargers have strong odds considering they play in the same division as the Chiefs. Melvin Gordon is showing no signs of returning, and while Austin Ekeler is a solid replacement, no Gordon is a big loss. Maybe he still returns, but at +1400 and tied for sixth best odds, it might be worth waiting to see how that situation shakes out.

Speaking of +1400 odds, the entire free world is all about the Cleveland Browns this season. They’ve got a lot of intriguing talent, but Super Bowl contenders already? That’s a tough call right now, but Browns certainly won’t be stopped from betting on their team.

Sleepers

Among shorter sleepers, the Atlanta Falcons (+3000) and Carolina Panthers (+5000) both intrigue me. I actually think both stand a chance of winning the division, and would not be surprised to see the Saints finish in second or third this season. Drew Brees seems like a safe bet, but I’m just not feeling him this year. Maybe he makes me regret it, but if either Atlanta or Carolina wins the division, they become an intriguing playoff contender. I’d lean Atlanta

Deeper sleeper

Back in February I took a look at some sleepers, and mentioned the New York Jets and Arizona Cardinals. The Jets opened at +7500 and are now improved to +6000. The Cardinals opened at +10000 and are now at +12500. I’ll stick with my Jets pick as a potential sleeper. If Sam Darnold takes a step forward, the addition of Le’Veon Bell makes this a scary offense. Their defensive secondary has serious questions, but the Jets intrigue me as a potential dangerous wild card team.

Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.
*21+. NJ/WV only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See website for details.