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Point spread, total, moneyline and more for Colts-Chargers in Week 1

The Colts open the 2019 season traveling to face the Chargers not too long after Andrew Luck’s shocking retirement. What does it mean for Sunday? We break down all the odds, including the point spread, the moneyline, and some interesting player prop bets.

By mitchelllapierre
Indianapolis Colts quarterback Andrew Luck talks to quarterback Jacoby Brissett as he walks off the field after a game against the Jacksonville Jaguars at Lucas Oil Stadium. Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

And now for a story about missing stars: The Indianapolis Colts and the Los Angeles Chargers. I’m going to spoil the ending for you. The Chargers win in the end.

We all know the narrative here. Andrew Luck retired from football just before the regular season, while the Chargers’ top running back, Melvin Gordon, will be sitting out due to contract issues that may take a while to sort out. The Colts are going to suffer far worse than the Chargers, though, as they’ll go with QB Jacoby Brissett (DFS salary $4,400) who went 4-11 as the Indy starter back in 2017. Meanwhile, last season the Chargers went 4-0 without Gordon, heavily leaning on Austin Ekeler ($5,500) and Justin Jackson ($4,000,) which they’ll have the luxury of doing so again this season. Don’t forget, Philip Rivers ($5,900) still has Keenan Allen ($7,300 and fifth-most expensive WR on DraftKings) as his top receiver. After two seasons in a row of at least 97 receptions, 1,196 yards and six touchdowns, they’re slated to be one of the better QB-WR duos in the league.

I don’t see any way the Colts can pull of a road victory, especially against a top-10 defense. The Chargers should win comfortably, but I’m predicting a garbage time rushing TD from Marlon Mack ($5,600) to help the Colts cover the +6.5 point spread.

All odds provided by DraftKings Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.

Colts at Chargers

Betting Odds

Point Spread: Colts +6.5
Total Points: 44
Money Line: Colts +230; Chargers -278

Records

Overall 2018: Colts 11-7; Chargers 13-5
ATS 2018: Colts 9-8-1; Chargers 10-8
O/U 2018: Colts 8-10; Chargers 9-9

Notable Prop Bets

Colts:

  • Marlon Mack to score the last TD: +750
  • Eric Ebron to score a TD: +350

Chargers:

  • Austin Ekeler to go under 81.5 total rushing and receiving yards: -112
  • Justin Jackson to score the 1st TD and team to win: +1600

Betting Trends

  • Marlon Mack has scored at least one touchdown in five of the Colts’ last six games.
  • The Colts have lost eight of their last nine season openers.
  • The Chargers have covered the spread in 17 of their last 20 games against AFC South opponents.
  • Seven of the Chargers’ last eight games as favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Marlon Mack has scored at least one touchdown in five of the Colts’ last six games.
  • Keenan Allen has scored a touchdown in each of the Chargers’ last three Sunday home games.
  • Eric Ebron has scored at least one touchdown in five of the Colts’ last six games as underdogs.
  • Austin Ekeler has scored a touchdown in five of the Chargers’ last six Sunday games at Dignity Health Sports Park.

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Odds and lines subject to change. See website for actual odds.
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