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Betting public loves AFC underdogs in Wild Card round

The NFL playoffs kick off on Saturday, and the betting public is backing the underdogs in the AFC and the favorites in the NFC. We break down the betting splits.

Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills looks to pass against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium on December 21, 2019 in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images

We are officially into the practice week for the 2020 NFL Playoffs. The AFC Wild Card round matchups take place Saturday, so the Patriots, Titans, Texans, and Bills all got in their first practice on Tuesday. The NFC Wild Card matchups take place Sunday, so the Saints, Vikings, Eagles, and Seahawks will all kick off practice on Wednesday.

The practice participation reports will give us a better handle on which injuries are worth noting heading into the weekend. If you’re trying to figure out who to bet on in the Wild Card round, the injury reports are critical pieces of information.

Before that info is fully clear, we’ve got some mid-week betting splits from DraftKings Sportsbook. These offer detail on how the public is betting each of the games between the point spread, point total, and money line. Each of the four games offers a little something different to note.

Bills @ Texans

The underdog Bills are getting a lot of love in this one. 64 percent of the point spread handle is on Buffalo -2.5, but more importantly, 67 percent of the money line handle is on the Bills to get the outright upset. I’m a little surprised to see the over getting more money than the under given the Bills defense and Josh Allen’s shakiness.

Titans @ Patriots

The Patriots are 20-3 straight up and 13-9-1 against the spread in home playoff games during the Brady/Belichick era. Bettors appear ready to fade the legends, with a majority betting Tennessee +5, and an even split of handle on the money line. Bettor beware!

Vikings @ Saints

This is the most lop-sided game for sports bettors. 82 percent of the point spread handle and 91 percent of the money line handle is on the Saints. Bettors also expect a shootout, with 92 percent of the handle over the point total of 49.5.

Seahawks @ Eagles

The Eagles opened as field goal favorites, but that line flipped in a hurry and Seattle is now a two-point favorite. The betting public is firmly in support of that move.

Wild Card betting splits, Wednesday

Team Spread % Handle % Bets Total % Handle % Bets Money Line % Handle % Bets
Team Spread % Handle % Bets Total % Handle % Bets Money Line % Handle % Bets
BUF Bills 2.5 64% 56% Over 43.5 71% 57% 125 67% 62%
HOU Texans -2.5 36% 44% Under 43.5 29% 43% -141 33% 38%
TEN Titans 5 56% 58% Over 44 67% 58% 190 50% 48%
NE Patriots -5 44% 42% Under 44 33% 42% -225 50% 52%
MIN Vikings 8 18% 23% Over 49.5 92% 83% 290 9% 9%
NO Saints -8 82% 77% Under 49.5 8% 17% -345 91% 91%
SEA Seahawks -2 85% 76% Over 45.5 43% 53% -125 71% 64%
PHI Eagles 2 15% 24% Under 45.5 57% 47% 110 29% 36%

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