Conference Championship Sunday is three days away, after which we’ll have our two Super Bowl 54 participants. The Kansas City Chiefs host the Tennessee Titans in the early game and the San Francisco 49ers host the Green Bay Packers in the late game.
The final four features three teams that were expected to be in the mix and a Titans team that is the Cinderella of the ball. And yet even for the three expected teams, it’s been a roller coaster dating back to the offseason. They’ve seen their Super Bowl odds climb and fall due to injuries, bad performances and other issues.
DraftKings Sportsbook has been tracking Super Bowl odds dating back to the close of Super Bowl 53. Below is a look at where each of the four participants currently stands and then the longest their odds were this year. By nature of the elimination of everybody else, each team’s current odds are also the best their odds have been this season.
Longest: +1400, Week 9
What changed: The Chiefs odds took a hit when Patrick Mahomes dislocated his knee. There was some uncertainty at first, but he made quick progress back — missing most of the Broncos game and then two starts. Heading into Week 9, Matt Moore was making his second start for the Chiefs. A week later, Patrick Mahomes returned and the Chiefs odds improved steadily from there.
Longest: +4000, Preseason
What changed: The 49ers were expected to improve with the return of Jimmy Garoppolo, but nobody knew how much exactly and the preseason odds reflected that. It turns out they were set to improve a whole lot. The heavy investment in the defensive line has paid off, and Kyle Shanahan continues to prove he is an offensive genius. San Francisco’s odds steadily improved, and aside from setbacks in losses to Baltimore in Week 13 and Atlanta in Week 15, they’ve improved almost every week.
Longest: +2200, Week 1
What changed: The Packers’ odds hung in the +2000 to +2200 range all offseason — even with the Vikings and behind the Bears. Green Bay improved with the season-opening win over the Bears, and as it became clear the Bears were taking a sizable step back, the Packers became the NFC North favorite. Their odds took a hit with each of their three losses, but they improved as they earned their bye.
Longest: +10000, Week 13
What changed: The Titans entered the preseason at +6600, and the first six weeks were rough. The team eventually benched quarterback Marcus Mariota and replaced him with Ryan Tannehill. It proved to be an instant upgrade for the Titans offense. Things took an even bigger step forward in Week 10, when Derrick Henry found a new gear. It was an up and down close to the season, but they did enough to get into the playoffs and have taken full advantage of the opportunity.
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