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Conor McGregor getting the support, but a submission loss is an intriguing bet

Conor McGregor returns to the octagon on Saturday to face Donald Cerone. We break down the odds and where the money is.

Conor McGregor of Ireland and Donald Cerrone pose for photos during the UFC 246 press conference at Pearl Theater at the Palms Casino Resort on January 15, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Chris Unger/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

Conor McGregor makes his return to the octagon on Saturday in the main event of UFC 246. This marks his first fight since losing to Khabib Nurmagomedov in a light heavyweight championship fight. McGregor dropped to 21-4 with the fourth round submission loss at UFC 229.

McGregor announced his retirement last March, but as is often the case with combat sports, it did not last. On Saturday, McGregor will square off against Donald Cerrone in a welterweight bout. The man nicknamed Cowboy has lost his last two fights via TKO and is 36-13 with one no contest to his name.

DraftKings Sportsbook is offering a variety of straight and prop bet odds for the fight. McGregor is the favorite -335, with Cowboys installed at +260. The betting handle is heavily in favor of McGregor at 69 percent, while the percentage of total bets placed is a little closer, with McGregor getting 53 percent of the bets.

McGregor is -200 to win by KO, TKO, or DQ, while Cowboys sits at +750. Nobody expects a McGregor submission win, so it is listed at +2500. Cowboys is +550 to win by submission, and if you think Cowboy springs the upset, submission makes a lot of sense. 17 of his 36 wins are by submission and all four of McGregor’s losses are by submission.

It’s no surprise that the odds are heavily stacked in favor of either a submission or stoppage. Not going the distance sits at -670 and going the distance at +400. If you think the fight will be particularly quick, DK is offering +700 odds that the fight ends in the first 59 seconds.

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