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Who to play of Jimmy Graham vs. Jonnu Smith in Conference Championship DFS

Two tight ends that fly a little more under the radar are worth considering for DFS in Sunday’s Conference Championship games. We break down Jimmy Graham and Jonnu Smith.

Chiefs TE Travis Kelce ($7,100) and 49ers TE George Kittle ($5,800) will likely be heavily owned in DraftKings contests this weekend, so fantasy owners in large-scale tournaments on DraftKings may want to pivot to cheaper tight ends.

Packers TE Jimmy Graham ($3,700) and Titans TE Jonnu Smith ($3,400) are the two next top options. By average DraftKings fantasy points (DKFP) per game, both Graham and Smith were identical fantasy producers this season, each averaging 6.4 DKFP per game. Both saw about the same target share inside the red zone, with each getting about 13% of their team’s red zone targets. With their production so closely related, choosing between the two will come down to the matchup this week.

Fantasy football analysis: Packers TE Jimmy Graham vs. Titans TE Jonnu Smith

The Titans-Chiefs game is expected to be higher scoring than Packers-49ers, as DraftKings Sportsbook has given Titans-Chiefs a total points of 52.5, compared to 46.5 for Packers-49ers. With the Chiefs’ offense looking unstoppable last week, there’s a good chance that Kansas City could build a significant lead in this game, which could force the Titans into a pass-heavy game-script. Titans QB Ryan Tannehill ($5,500) showcased elite passing ability with the Titans during the regular season, leading the NFL in yards gained per pass attempt (9.6) and passer rating (117.5), so Tennessee has a capacity to move the ball through the air if they choose to adjust their gameplan away from feeding RB Derrick Henry ($8,700) on the ground. If Tennessee is forced into heavy passing volume, Smith could be an appealing fantasy play at a cheap price tag, and he carries some touchdown upside given he ranked second on the Titans in red zone target percentage.

DraftKings DFS Recommendation

Start Jonnu Smith over Jimmy Graham on DraftKings

I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is timfinn521) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.