Wild card wide receivers get some tough matchups this weekend, as Tre’Davious White, Stephon Gilmore and Marcus Lattimore all will matchup with top receivers, DeAndre Hopkins, A.J. Brown and Stephon Diggs. Julian Edelman gets a great matchup but he hasn’t looked himself of late due to injuries and Tyler Lockett faces an Eagles defense that locks down slot receivers.
Each of the above players are still too good to fade completely but I like the players below as a bit safer this week.
Michael Thomas, Saints ($9,300)
It’s going to be tough for me to get past Michael Thomas this week, as he has 15 catch upside against Xavier Rhodes, who has allowed 1.83 yards and .38 fantasy points per reception, both near the bottom of all the cornerbacks playing this weekend. Of course, his price reflects that upside, as he is the most expensive player on the slate. There is some value on this slate but probably not enough to easily get Thomas in all your lineups, but his upside and consistency are worth trying.
D.K. Metcalf, Seahawks ($6,100)
Metcalf is one of my favorite plays this week, as the Eagles are bad against outside receivers, allowing the second-most fantasy points to left wide receivers and the worst against right wide receivers while they give up the fewest fantasy points to slot receivers. Tyler Lockett spends 70 percent of his time in the slot, but since Josh Gordon was suspended he has spent a little more time out wide. I think Lockett gets his, but Metcalf will be outside the whole game and will see a lot of Rasul Douglas, who is the Eagles worst cornerback according to Pro Football Focus grading.
Metcalf saw 12 targets last week against the 49ers in a tougher matchup and caught six for 81 yards and a touchdown. His usage fluctuates but I think he leads the team in targets against the Eagles, as they play tight ends and slot receivers well, likely forcing the ball to their rookie.
Cole Beasley, Bills ($5,600)
The Texans are really the worst overall defense going this weekend statistically. They rank below average in most matchup stats, so the Bills have several ways to attack them. But one of the best ways to attack the Texans is over the middle with a slot receiver. The Texans Vernon Hargreaves grades the worst at Pro Football Focus out of all the cornerbacks playing this weekend and he will see Beasley the most.
Over the last five games, Beasley has averaged 8.2 targets to John Brown’s 6 and 16.6 DK points to Brown’s 11.5. Brown will always have more upside but consistency is on Beasley’s side, especially in PPR scoring at DraftKings.