Monday’s Martin Luther King Jr. day slate is loaded with 14 NBA games on DraftKings. The first slate is a nine-game slate and locks at 2:00 p.m. ET. After that, a five-game slate is set to lock at 7:30 p.m. ET. Here, we will take a look at some higher-priced plays that fantasy owners can consider using.
Damian Lillard, Portland Trail Blazers vs. Golden State Warriors ($8,400) — CJ McCollum (ankle) is set to miss Monday’s game, which makes Lillard a candidate for expanded volume. Lillard’s usage rate spikes to a heavy 33% in minutes with McCollum off the court this season, up from 26% with McCollum on the court. Lillard’s assist rate also rises when McCollum is off the court. Lillard will take potential expanded volume into a soft matchup against the Warriors, who have been poor defensively.
The Warriors rank in the bottom third in both points and assists allowed to opponents and have been poor at defending the 3-point line, allowing the third most made 3s per game. Golden State has been prone to allowing extra space at the 3-point line, allowing the third most wide-open 3s per game based on the league’s player tracking system, which measures the closest defender to the shooter. Lillard is shooting a healthy 40% on wide-open 3s, a boost from his season average of 36% on all 3s.
Derrick Rose, Detroit Pistons at Washington Wizards ($7,200) — Rose has been moved into the starting lineup over the Pistons’ last two games and has an elite matchup on Monday against the worst defensive team in the league, the Wizards. Washington ranks last in points allowed per game, points allowed per possession and rebound rate. Washington has also allowed the fourth most assists to opponents. Rose will be in excellent position for points and assists in this matchup.
Brandon Ingram, New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies ($8,800) — Ingram has been a breakout player in his first season with the Pelicans, which was highlighted by a recent 69.5 DKFP in a win over the Jazz that earned him “MVP” chants from the crowd. Ingram enters Monday with a strong matchup against the Grizzlies, who have allowed the fourth most points to opponents and eighth most assists to opponents. Both the Grizzlies and Pelicans rank in the top six in pace, so this game could feature a lot of possessions for boosted chances at fantasy scoring.
Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls ($11,200) — Antetokounmpo carries risk, as a blowout could cut his minutes late in the game, but he draws a soft matchup against a Bulls team that has been terrible on the glass. Chicago ranks as the league’s third worst rebounding team by the percentage of missed shots they rebound, a number that is a candidate to fall even further with the Bulls down their top two centers in Wendell Carter Jr. (ankle) and Daniel Gafford (thumb). Antetokounmpo has been able to log 32 minutes per game in three previous games vs. the Bulls this season and is averaging 57 DKFP per game in three games.
Nikola Jokic, Denver Nuggets at Minnesota Timberwolves ($9,400) — After a slow start to the season, Jokic has turned things around and has been especially productive lately. Jokic is averaging 52 DKFP per game over his last six games, a boost from 44 DKFP per game previously. Jokic lands in a good matchup on Monday against the Timberwolves, who have allowed the fifth most points to opponents. In two games vs. Minnesota this season, Jokic is averaging 50 DKFP per game.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is timfinn521) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.