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Breaking down the Chiefs record against the spread in 2019 NFL season

The Chiefs are favorites in Super Bowl 54 after a strong season against the spread. We break down their numbers heading into the big game.

Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs reacts with teammate Eric Fisher after a fourth quarter touchdown pass against the Tennessee Titans in the AFC Championship Game at Arrowhead Stadium on January 19, 2020 in Kansas City, Missouri. Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images

The Kansas City Chiefs have advanced to Super Bowl 54 and will be favorites when they face the San Francisco 49ers at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami, Florida. Entering the NFC Championship Game, there was some speculation the Chiefs could open as high as a field goal favorite, but DraftKings Sportsbook eventually opened the Super Bowl with KC installed as 1.5-point favorites. The point total opened at 53 points and is now at 53.5.

The Chiefs finished the 2019 regular season with a 12-4 record, and now have two more wins in the 2020 NFL Playoffs. They are 14-4 straight up on the season and 13-5 against the spread. They have gone over the point total ten times heading into the Super Bowl.

Their biggest spread this season as a favorite saw them at -11 at home against the Raiders. They were also -10.5 against the Colts during the regular season and against the Texans in the playoffs. They were underdogs three times this season, with their biggest spread at +5.5 against the Vikings when Patrick Mahomes was sidelined with a dislocated kneecap.

Kansas City has been a favorite each of their two playoff games, and have not been an underdog since they were getting three points against the New England Patriots in Week 14. Their toughest stretch this season came actually before they lost Mahomes to the dislocated kneecap. In Weeks 4-6, they went 1-2 SU against the Lions, Colts and Texans, and failed to cover in all three games. In Weeks 7-9 when they were missing Mahomes, they were 2-1 SU and ATS.

The Chiefs have covered eight straight games and have gone over the point total the last three.

Chiefs ATS record 2019-20

Week Opp Score Spread Total SU result ATS result O/U results
Week Opp Score Spread Total SU result ATS result O/U results
1 @ Jaguars 40-26 Chiefs -3.5 49 WIN WIN OVER
2 @ Raiders 28-10 Chiefs -6.5 53 WIN WIN UNDER
3 vs. Ravens 33-28 Chiefs -4.5 52 WIN WIN OVER
4 @ Lions 34-30 Chiefs -7 54.5 WIN LOSS OVER
5 vs. Colts 13-19 Chiefs -10.5 55 LOSS LOSS UNDER
6 vs. Texans 24-31 Chiefs -3.5 54.5 LOSS LOSS OVER
7 @ Broncos 30-6 Chiefs -3 49.5 WIN WIN UNDER
8 vs. Packers 24-31 Packers -5 47.5 LOSS LOSS OVER
9 vs. Vikings 26-23 Vikings -5.5 45.5 WIN WIN OVER
10 @ Titans 32-35 Chiefs -5 49 LOSS LOSS OVER
11 vs. Chargers 24-17 Chiefs -5.5 52.5 WIN WIN UNDER
12 BYE BYE BYE BYE BYE BYE BYE
13 vs. Raiders 40-9 Chiefs -11 49.5 WIN WIN UNDER
14 @ Patriots 23-16 Patriots -3 49 WIN WIN UNDER
15 vs. Broncos 23-3 Chiefs -9.5 43 WIN WIN UNDER
16 @ Bears 26-3 Chiefs -6.5 45.5 WIN WIN UNDER
17 vs. Chargers 31-21 Chiefs -9.5 45.5 WIN WIN OVER
WC BYE BYE BYE BYE BYE BYE BYE
Div vs. Texans 51-31 Chiefs -10.5 50.5 WIN WIN OVER
CC vs. Titans 35-24 Chiefs -7 51 WIN WIN OVER

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