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Super Bowl 54 total keeps rising

The Chiefs and 49ers were both top five offenses this season. It’s not surprising bettors are pounding the over on the Super Bowl 54 point total.

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes throws deep to wide receiver Sammy Watkins late in the fourth quarter against the New England Patriots during the AFC Championship game on Sunday, Jan. 20, 2019 at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo. John Sleezer/Kansas City Star/Tribune News Service via Getty Images

The Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers bring a pair of high octane offenses to the table in Super Bowl 54, and bettors are convinced this game could turn into a shootout. DraftKings Sportsbook opened the point total at 53, and it is climbing each day. It moved to 53.5 on Monday and is now up to 54 on Tuesday morning.

The 49ers finished the regular season ranked second in points scored, while the Chiefs ranked fifth. In two playoff games apiece, the 49ers have scored 64 points and the Chiefs have scored 86 points. Defense can be critical for setting up the offense, but both of these offenses can do plenty on their own.

Andy Reid’s offense is built around Patrick Mahomes, but Damien Williams is no slouch. He has not been overly impressive in the playoffs — averaging 3.2 yards per carry — but he’s found the end zone three times. The passing game is how this offense moves in chunks, but Williams is still going to get plenty of work. At the same time, Patrick Mahomes has been their most effective runner to date.

Kyle Shanahan’s offense can make plenty of chunk plays in the passing game, but through two playoff games has been built around the offense. Much has been made of Jimmy Garoppolo attempting only eight passes in the NFC Championship Game, but he only had 19 more pass attempts in the Divisional round. Raheem Mostert’s 41 carries and Tevin Coleman’s 28 carries both exceed what Garoppolo has attempted thus far, and they’ve both been incredibly effective. Mostert is averaging 6.8 yards per carry while Coleman is averaging 4.5 per carry.

The 49ers can move quickly on the ground, and even if they fell behind early, they would not abandon the ground game. At the same time, Garoppolo has shown an ability to make plays in the passing game, so the 49ers could very well keep up with the Chiefs in this one.

All this makes it understandable that bettors are pounding the over on this point total. At some point under money will come in, but for now this number is likely to continue rising.

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