clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Previewing Tyreek Hill for Super Bowl DFS

Tyreek Hill was slowed by a broken collarbone, but has returned and remains a big play threat. We break down his performance to date, his DraftKings and FanDuel salaries, and what to expect for Super Bowl 54.

Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Tyreek Hill runs for a touchdown during the second quarter against the Tennessee Titans in the AFC Championship Game at Arrowhead Stadium. Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers square off in Super Bowl 54 on Sunday, February 2nd. We’ll be breaking down everything you need to know to prepare your daily fantasy football lineups for the big game. We’re starting with a player-by-player preview for the skill position players on the two teams.

2018 was a career year for Tyreek Hill, who posted new season-highs in almost every single category including receptions, receiving yards and touchdowns. When the season concluded, Hill had 87 receptions, 1479 yards and 12 touchdowns. Those yards and touchdowns were good for the fourth-most in the league, making him one of the most dangerous receivers in the league.

DFS Super Bowl price

DraftKings Captain: $16,500
DraftKings Flex: $11,000
FanDuel: $12,000

DFS opponent position ranking

DraftKings: 8th
FanDuel: 12th

Season performance

Injuries derailed Hill’s season a bit, as he only played in 12 games during the regular season. A broken collarbone put him on the shelf but once he recovered, it was business as usual for the Chiefs WR1. Drawing 89 targets, Hill made 58 receptions for 860 yards and seven touchdowns. Hill didn’t have a big red zone target share at just 11% but to be fair, four of his seven touchdowns came at a distance of over 40+ yards. Even with so many mouths to feed in this Chiefs offense, Hill consistently remains the solidified WR1.

Playoff performance

A week after Travis Kelce went off against the Texans during the Divisional Round, it was Hill’s turn against the Titans. Hill caught five of his seven targets for 67 yards and two touchdowns. In total, Hill has caught eight of his 11 targets for 108 yards and two touchdowns. Hill has also taken two rushes during the playoffs, something they’ve done with him during the regular season as well but only has 11 yards in that situation.

Matchup

The 49ers once stellar secondary has taken a fall from grace near the end of the season. In their last five games, which includes their two playoff appearances, the 49ers have allowed an average of 173 receiving yards and seven touchdowns. In coverage, Hill should see CB Emmanuel Moseley, who has allowed a 58% catch rate on 62 targets for an average of 12 YPR and two touchdowns. While the matchup isn’t one that you’re necessarily looking to exploit, the speed that Hill possesses puts him in a fantastic spot. Of the 432 yards that Moseley allowed, 198 of them came after the catch — which accounts for 45%.

DFS pricing and analysis

If you’re looking to roster Patrick Mahomes and Hill, a massive chunk of your salary is taken away rather quickly. At DraftKings, fitting both of them in a flex spot accounts for 47% of your salary and 56% on FanDuel. With how the 49ers secondary has been struggling as of late, you have to figure out how to get both of these players in your lineup. Going with some of the cheaper options like Kendrick Bourne or Demarcus Robinson will help alleviate some of your salary woes but Hill is a near must.

I am an avid fan and user (my username is steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.