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Previewing Travis Kelce for Super Bowl DFS

Chiefs TE Travis Kelce is putting up record-breaking numbers. We break down his performance to date, his DraftKings and FanDuel salaries, and what to expect for Super Bowl 54.

Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce celebrates during the second quarter against the Houston Texans in a AFC Divisional Round playoff football game at Arrowhead Stadium. Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers square off in Super Bowl 54 on Sunday, February 2nd. We’ll be breaking down everything you need to know to prepare your daily fantasy football lineups for the big game. We’re starting with a player-by-player preview for the skill position players on the two teams.

One of the most dynamic and dominant tight ends in the game, Kelce reached double-digit touchdowns for the first time in his career in 2018 with 10. He also pulled down 103 receptions that season, which was second-most in the league for tight ends, trailing only Zach Ertz from the Eagles. He’d go on to average 83.5 yards, 9.3 targets and 6.4 receptions per game that season.

DFS Super Bowl price

DraftKings Captain: $14,400
DraftKings Flex: $9,600
FanDuel: $12,500

DFS opponent position ranking

DraftKings: 7th
FanDuel: 3rd

Season performance

While Kelce took a hit in the touchdown department during the regular season, he still was a yardage monster. His 1229 receiving yards were the fourth-most in the league and first overall amongst tight ends. He continues to be one of the most dominant in the position and despite bringing down five touchdowns during the regular season, boasted a 30% red zone target share.

Playoff performance

No one will forget about Kelce’s performance against the Texans that helped the Chiefs overcome a quick 21-0 hole. Kelce saw 12 targets in which he made 10 receptions for 134 yards and three touchdowns, which is quite remarkable considering he had five touchdowns during the regular season. After racking up all that production during the Divisional Round, Kelce took a step back in the Conference Championship, catching three of his four targets for only 30 yards.

Matchup

It’s tough to gauge how a defense performs against tight ends because some teams simply don’t look their direction. Over the course of this season, the 49ers allowed an average of just 6.1 DKFP, 38 receiving yards and seven total touchdowns to opposing tight ends. Of those seven touchdowns, three of them came in one week against the Saints with Jared Cook grabbing two and Josh Hill grabbing the other.

Quite frankly, Kelce is nearly matchup proof and his 76.8 yards per game are tough to ignore. For what it’s worth, we did see other teams who use the tight end heavily find success against this team. The Rams had 9/104/0 in Week 16, Saints 4/68/3 in Week 14 and the Ravens 7/75/1 in Week 13.

DFS pricing and analysis

Kelce is the fourth-most expensive player on DraftKings at $9,600 in the flex and fifth-most on FanDuel at $12,500. In what is expected to be a high-scoring game with an over/under of 54, stacking Patrick Mahomes with at least two of his receivers would be an optimal strategy. Kelce does provide some relief from Tyreek Hill, who has the second-highest salary at $11,000. Being such a high red zone target with a 30% team share puts him in a great position to grab at least a score in this game as well, so he’ll be someone you’ll be looking to lean on in your roster construction.

I am an avid fan and user (my username is steveazors) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.