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Best bets for Patrick Mahomes Super Bowl 54 props

We break down which prop bets we like for Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes in Super Bowl 54.

Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs looks at a referee during the fourth quarter of the AFC Championship game against the Tennessee Titans at Arrowhead Stadium on January 19, 2020 in Kansas City, Missouri. Photo by David Eulitt/Getty Images

The Super Bowl brings out every prop bet you can think up, so we get a plethora of opportunities to project individual players’ performances. This game is under the microscope and every player who sees any time on the field will have a role to play. These prop bets give us some ownership over projecting the many, many intricacies of Super Bowl 54. DraftKings Sportsbook offers hundreds of bets with nearly 1,200 possible outcomes.

Last year’s NFL MVP, Patrick Mahomes, will have plenty of interest in prop betting, as he’s been on a roll in the playoffs and faces a strong 49ers defense. If you think the 49ers can slow Mahomes down, you might be looking at “under” bets and if you think he goes off, the “over” could be your friend. We’ve got a full list of his prop bet options below, sortable by type of bet, outcome, and odds.

Three best bets for Patrick Mahomes

Total rushing yards: Over 24.5, -135

Mahomes has 53 rushing yards in each of his playoff games this season and has run the ball 7, 7, and 8 times in his last three games. He is now back to full health and will do everything in his power to win the Super Bowl, which includes risking a big hit while running. The 49ers have given up 25 or more yards rushing six times since Week 9 and trying to spy Mahomes with his ability as a passer will not turn out well for the 49ers.

Total Pass attempts: Over 35.5, -112

Mahomes hit 35 pass attempts in his two playoff games so far and averaged 34.6 pass attempts per game this year and 36.3 last season. The total is set well at 35.5. In games where the Chiefs blow teams out by 10 or more points, Mahomes has averaged 31 pass attempts. When they lose or win by nine or fewer points, Mahomes averages 39 pass attempts. I expect this game to be close and for Mahomes not to be as efficient as he usually is in a blow out.

Total passing yards first quarter: Over 74.5

Getting this one right can be tough, but I like Andy Reid after two weeks of game-planning and Mahomes has averaged 78.8 yards passing in the first quarter so far in his career, which includes some games playing at less than 100 percent this season.

Patrick Mahomes Prop Bets

Wager Outcome Odds
Wager Outcome Odds
Both players to score at least one touchdown - Including Overtime Damien Williams & Patrick Mahomes 1000
Anytime TD score Patrick Mahomes 400
First TD score Patrick Mahomes 2500
Last TD score Patrick Mahomes 2500
MVP Award Winner Patrick Mahomes 115
Outcome of first pass attempt by Patrick Mahomes Incomplete 180
Outcome of first pass attempt by Patrick Mahomes Interception 1200
Outcome of first pass attempt by Patrick Mahomes Completed Pass -235
Patrick Mahomes Completion (%) - Including Overtime Over 67.5 -112
Patrick Mahomes Completion (%) - Including Overtime Under 67.5 -112
Patrick Mahomes passing rating Over 105.5 -112
Patrick Mahomes passing rating Under 105.5 -112
Patrick Mahomes to complete the Most Passes - Including Overtime Patrick Mahomes -240
Patrick Mahomes to Record a Lost Fumble - Including Overtime No -590
Patrick Mahomes to Record a Lost Fumble - Including Overtime Yes 400
Patrick Mahomes to score a touchdown in Quarter 1 Yes 1600
Patrick Mahomes to score a touchdown in the 1st half Yes 650
Patrick Mahomes to score at least 1 touchdown in each half - Excluding Overtime Yes 5000
Patrick Mahomes to score at least 2 touchdowns - Including Overtime Yes 1400
Patrick Mahomes to score at least 3 touchdowns - Including Overtime Yes 12500
Player to have Highest Completion (%) - Including Overtime Patrick Mahomes -125
Player to have Highest Passer Rating Patrick Mahomes -143
Player to have Most Passing Yards Patrick Mahomes -286
Player to throw first interception Patrick Mahomes 145
Player To Throw First Touchdown Pass Patrick Mahomes -190
Player to throw most touchdowns Patrick Mahomes -225
To Score a Touchdown and Player's Team to Win Patrick Mahomes 650
To Score First Touchdown & Player's Team to Win Patrick Mahomes 4000
Total Interceptions thrown by Patrick Mahomes Over 0.5 110
Total Interceptions thrown by Patrick Mahomes Under 0.5 -137
Total Pass Attempts by Patrick Mahomes Over 35.5 -112
Total Pass Attempts by Patrick Mahomes Under 35.5 -112
Total Pass Completions by Patrick Mahomes - Including Overtime Over 23.5 -141
Total Pass Completions by Patrick Mahomes - Including Overtime Under 23.5 114
Total Passing Yards by Patrick Mahomes Over 299.5 -112
Total Passing Yards by Patrick Mahomes Under 299.5 -112
Total Passing Yards by Patrick Mahomes - Quarter 1 Over 74.5 105
Total Passing Yards by Patrick Mahomes - Quarter 1 Under 74.5 -130
Total Passing Yards by Patrick Mahomes in the 1st half Over 149.5 -112
Total Passing Yards by Patrick Mahomes in the 1st half Under 149.5 -112
Total Rushing Yards by Patrick Mahomes - Including Overtime Over 24.5 -134
Total Rushing Yards by Patrick Mahomes - Including Overtime Under 24.5 108
Total Touchdown Passes Thrown by Patrick Mahomes - Including Overtime Over 1.5 -235
Total Touchdown Passes Thrown by Patrick Mahomes - Including Overtime Under 1.5 183
Total Yards of Longest Completed Pass by Patrick Mahomes - Including Overtime Over 42.5 -112
Total Yards of Longest Completed Pass by Patrick Mahomes - Including Overtime Under 42.5 -112
Total Yards of the First Completed Pass by Patrick Mahomes - Including Overtime Over 9.5 -112
Total Yards of the First Completed Pass by Patrick Mahomes - Including Overtime Under 9.5 -112
Both players to score at least one touchdown - Including Overtime Patrick Mahomes & Deebo Samuel 1120
Both players to score at least one touchdown - Including Overtime Patrick Mahomes & Emmanuel Sanders 1600
Both players to score at least one touchdown - Including Overtime Patrick Mahomes & George Kittle 1050
Both players to score at least one touchdown - Including Overtime Patrick Mahomes & Kendrick Bourne 1900
Both players to score at least one touchdown - Including Overtime Patrick Mahomes & Matt Breida 1770
Both players to score at least one touchdown - Including Overtime Patrick Mahomes & Raheem Mostert 725
Both players to score at least one touchdown - Including Overtime Patrick Mahomes & Tevin Coleman 1300
Both players to score at least one touchdown - Including Overtime Sammy Watkins & Patrick Mahomes 2300
Both players to score at least one touchdown - Including Overtime Travis Kelce & Patrick Mahomes 1200

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