Both Derrick Henry and Alvin Kamara are coming in hot, as Henry rushed 32 times for 211 yards and three touchdowns against the Texans last week and Kamara has 19 carries for 119 yards for four touchdowns and caught 8-of-10 targets for 48 yards in his last two games.
Kamara doesn’t get the rushing attempts that Henry sees but he also gets many more receptions than Henry, who has 18 for the whole season. Henry is priced at $8,200 to Kamara’s $7,400 as well.
Henry has been an absolute beast this season, averaging 21 DK points to Kamara’s 17.8. Kamara did miss time with a high ankle sprain and appeared to not be at full health on his return, as his numbers took a dip. He also got into a big touchdown slump with just one touchdown in 12 games before going bananas in his last two. Henry suffered a hamstring injury that slowed him down a little toward the end of the season but last week’s game showed that he is completely back.
Fantasy football analysis: Saints RB Alvin Kamara, Titans RB Derrick Henry
This week Henry faces the Patriots and Kamara faces the Vikings. Both defenses have shown well against the run, but the Vikings have hit the skids of late, giving up 4.7 yards per carry and eight touchdowns to running backs in the second half of the season while the Patriots allowed 4 yards per carry and just one rushing touchdown all season to running backs.
The Patriots have given up good yardage on the ground lately to Nick Chubb, Joe Mixon and Mark Ingram, as each has topped 115 rushing yards. Those backs are similar runners to Henry and Henry has been better on the season. He has a tough matchup, but there’s no reason to think he’ll be shut down.
The Vikings have given up good games to Aaron Jones, Rashaad Penny, Damien Williams, Miles Sanders and Aaron Jones again. They aren’t a team you can target running backs against and always expect good results, but they’ve shown enough chinks in their armor to not worry about them shutting down a back like Kamara.
Kamara has both upside around the goal line to score touchdowns and through the air, which is valuable on DraftKings, as they give a point per reception. His receiving ability gives him extra flexibility, which helps him get DK points even if he is getting stifled on the ground or vice-versa. If Kamara were more expensive than Henry, I think this would be a harder decision, but the savings you get with similar upside makes Kamara my choice between the two.
Play Kamara over Henry in DFS.