The Titans earned their spot in this matchup against the Ravens after knocking out the Patriots during Wild Card Weekend by a score of 20-13. It’s an amazing comeback story for a team that was 2-4 to start the season to now be facing arguably the most dangerous team in the AFC in the Divisional Round.
Unfortunately for the Titans, the DraftKings Sportsbook isn’t overly interested in feel-good stories, as the Ravens are -9 point favorites. During the regular season, the Ravens were favored in 12 of their 16 games, a scenario they carried a 7-5 record against the spread. The Titans are underdogs for the seventh time and hold a 4-3 record ATS.
The Ravens are coming in very well rested and looking as if they’ll have their full tandem of weapons at their disposal. Mark Ingram, who is dealing with a calf injury, is expected to suit up as well as Mark Andrews. The Titans will have their hands full with Lamar Jackson, as they have seen mobile quarterbacks run all of them all throughout the season. Six different games this season saw a QB run for over 20 yards. That list features Jacoby Brissett, Josh Allen, Jameis Winston, Gardner Minshew and Deshaun Watson. When you consider that with a poor overall Titans run defense and an average at best secondary, it’s hard not to think the Ravens won’t be able to pour on the offense in this game.
Before we shut the door already on the Titans, let’s give credit where it’s due. This is a team that has gone 8-3 since Ryan Tannehill took over while averaging 29.4 points per game. They’ve been riding Derrick Henry hard but he’s been producing in return. The Ravens do have a good run defense but they did allow 90+ rushing yards in three of their last four games. The emergence of A.J. Brown has also been a big factor for the Titans but his matchup against CB Jimmy Smith as he allowed a 51% catch rate on 47 targets for an average of 10.6 YPR through nine games. So while the Titans will certainly put up a fight, it likely won’t be enough to stop the Ravens.
Point spread: Titans +9
Total Points: 47
Money Line : Titans +310; Ravens -375
Overall: Titans 10-7; Ravens 14-2
ATS: Titans 9-7-1; Ravens 10-6
O/U: Titans 10-7; Ravens 9-7
Players to watch: LB Jayon Brown (shoulder), G Nate Davis (illness), WR Adam Humphries (ankle), CB Adoree’ Jackson (foot), WR Cody Hollister (ankle), RB Dion Lewis (shoulder), WR Kalif Raymond (concussion)
Players to watch: G Parker Ehinger (shoulder), RB Mark Ingram (calf), CB Jimmy Smith (not injury related), TE Mark Andrews (ankle)
- The Ravens have won each of their last 12 games.
The Ravens have covered the spread in each of their last seven games against AFC opponents.
- Each of the Ravens’ last four January games as favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Derrick Henry has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Titans’ last five road games.
- Mark Andrews has scored a touchdown in five of the Ravens’ last six games as home favorites.
- Marquise Brown has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Ravens’ last two night games.
- Seth Roberts has scored a touchdown in each of the Ravens’ last two games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
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