Normally Milwaukee Bucks-Golden State Warriors would be a high-ticket matchup. A potential NBA Finals preview. But nope, we’ve got a game with a double-digit spread that could be over at halftime. Still, that doesn’t shy us off of making lineups for Wednesday night’s Showdown contest on DraftKings, right? Nope.
So there really isn’t much we need to know heading into this game. The Bucks are coming off a bad loss to the San Antonio Spurs and the Warriors are on a five-game losing streak. Draymond Green will return to the lineup for the Dubs, but D’Angelo Russell will remain sidelined. Giannis Antetokounmpo is technically listed as probable, but it doesn’t look like his status is in question tonight. So both teams relatively healthy, which is a nice sight. Let’s break down both sides and how to craft a winning lineup.
I hopped on DK Live’s The Sweat this morning to talk a bit about this contest. In that segment, I touted Eric Bledsoe ($12,300) as my favorite pick for the Captain’s slot. Giannis ($19,800) will be the chalk, but he’s really expensive and I think he’ll have heavy ownership. Bledsoe seems due since returning from injury and this is a perfect matchup for him to break out. The Warriors rank 25th in points allowed to PGs on DraftKings and Golden State gives up 38.7% shooting from long range to opponents. The Dubs are also thin at guard without Russell and don’t really have any stoppers on defense.
My favorite value Captain is Eric Paschall ($6,000), who we remember from his big games earlier this season. Paschall is coming off 30 minutes on Monday vs. the Kings, the first time he’s played that much since Dec. 6. With Green back, we could see less of Paschall, but this game could also be over at halftime, so coach Steve Kerr could opt to get Paschall a lot of garbage time. We know what his ceiling is from the beginning of the season and this price is favorable.
So I think the trendy, cash-game play in this contest will be to stack the Bucks’ Big-3 of Giannis ($13,200), Khris Middleton ($9,000) and Bledsoe ($8,200). If we’re Captaining Bledsoe and flexing the other two, we’ve got $5.167 left over on average to complete the lineup. I like the prospect of Jacob Evans ($1,200) getting some garbage time for the Dubs and he’s incredibly cheap. After that, we have a lot of options for the final two spots. The Bucks got killed on the boards by the Spurs, so Dray ($7,800) would be ideal, plus you’d essentially be rostering the four players with the highest ceilings in the game. The other option would be Willie Cauley-Stein ($6,200), who is back from injury and appears up to speed. Paschall ($4,000) is also a good UTIL play since he’s insanely cheap. And if I’m playing into the “Dubs can’t defend the 3” narrative, then Wes Matthews ($3,000) is a good play.