The Divisional round is packed with top quarterbacks, as we get Lamar Jackson and Patrick Mahomes back this week to go along with DeShaun Watson, Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers. Those are some high-powered names right there.
We’ll take a look at the best plays for this round and if paying up for the studs is worth the strain on your salary cap.
Lamar Jackson, Baltimore Ravens ($8,400) vs. Titans
Jackson is at his highest price of the season by $400 this week. That, coupled with a lack of true punt plays to help you fit studs into your lineup, is going to make it difficult to get all the top matchups this week, but $8,400 isn’t a number that makes Jackson unplayable. We’ve played Christian McCaffrey all season at 10k and been able to contend but the playoffs do make finding cheaper plays more difficult.
Jackson is matchup proof to be sure. He manages three touchdown passes against the Bills in Buffalo in Week 14 and that was his worst DK game since Week 5. The Titans aren’t a push over defense but they aren’t nearly the team Buffalo and Pittsburgh are, which are the only teams to hold Jackson to 20 or fewer DK points.
The Titans defense ranks 20th in DK points allowed over the last half of the season and 18th for the whole year. Ten of the 16 quarterbacks they faced this season threw for two or more touchdowns and you know Jackson isn’t going to be limited as a runner in these must-win playoff games. His consistent high upside games make him as much of a lock as any quarterback you’ll ever roster and his price is still very much worth picking him this weekend.
Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs ($7,500) vs. Texans
Mahomes has had trouble with injuries and missed his best receiver for a good chunk of games, but Kansas City and he are both looking healthy this week as they welcome the Texans to Arrowhead Stadium. He hasn’t been close to Lamar Jackson’s consistency, but when healthy, he still has similar upside.
Mahomes started the season on fire with three straight 30 DK point games, but then he hurt his ankle and dislocated his knee, which slowed him and his numbers down. But this weekend we get a healthy Mahomes in a game where the weather appears to be good going up against a weak pass defense.
The Texans rank 30th in DK points allowed to quarterbacks this season. Mahomes took them on in Week 6, when he was dealing with his ankle injury, and put up 273 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. That was also the first week Tyreek Hill returned and he went for 80 yards and two touchdowns. I very much expect a healthier Mahomes to meet or beat those numbers this week and at a cheaper price than Jackson.
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