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Full list of Week 4 straight-up picks with confidence levels

The NFL returns for Week 4, and we’ve got a look at who we think will win each of the 15 games taking place this week.

Ryan Fitzpatrick of the New York Jets and Russell Wilson of the Seattle Seahawks talk after the game at MetLife Stadium on October 2, 2016 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. Photo by Elsa/Getty Images

UPDATE: The NFL has postponed Steelers-Titans to later in the season due to the Titans’ Covid-19 outbreak. I’ve crossed that game off my list.

The NFL is back for Week 4, and we’re opening with the New York Jets hosting the Denver Broncos in a Thursday Night Football game that will test the bounds of the league’s dominant TV ratings. The game kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET and airs on NFL Network.

The Broncos opened as a 2.5-point favorite but the line has come down to -1 — and even pick ‘em at some shops. This is a messy matchup, with two teams that have a whole host of questions. The Broncos have been crushed by injuries, going to Brett Rypien at quarterback this week. Meanwhile, the Jets are just a bad football team. They’ve dealt with some tough injuries of their own, but the talent level is just not there.

Each Thursday, I put together a list of straight up picks for the weekly schedule. I’ll have picks against the spread over the weekend, but this is a chance to just pick winners and losers. This year though, I’ve changed up the approach. Instead of simply picking winners and losers, I’m also grouping the picks by confidence — high confidence, medium confidence, low confidence, no confidence.

A week removed from going 15-1, last week I struggled to a 9-7 performance. It’s not great, but bad weeks are going to happen. I went 3-3 in medium confidence picks and 0-2 in low confidence picks. Below I’ve posted all my picks, with my record in that confidence level in parenthesis. A game with three asterisks (***) after it indicate a game where I’m picking the betting underdog to get the win. It’s another high chalk week.

High confidence (15-3)

Bucs over Chargers
Seahawks over Dolphins
Cardinals over Panthers
Ravens over Washington
Rams over Giants
49ers over Eagles

Medium confidence (13-6)

Texans over Vikings
Steelers over Titans
Cowboys over Browns
Chiefs over Patriots
Packers over Falcons

Low confidence (3-4)

Lions over Saints
Bengals over Jaguars
Bears over Colts
Raiders over Bills

No confidence (3-1)

Jets over Broncos

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