The landscape of the National Football League changes every week. Where we thought teams lined up before Week 1 can (and usually does) end up being completely different to where they actually end up come Week 17. But all teams are focusing on one goal, even if it calls for a season to be tanked in the meantime. Everyone is aiming for the Super Bowl. And that’s exactly what we’ll focus on here. Every week, I’ll highlight three teams that most improved their Super Bowl winning odds.
We’re through with Week 3 and we’re now headed into Week 4. Let’s get started. All odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.
Cleveland Browns (2-1, +4000)
While the undefeated Steelers and the just-defeated Ravens are expected to fight for the top spot in the AFC North, the Browns might have something to say after all. At 2-1 for the first time since 2011, Cleveland can insert itself into the conversation if they continue stringing wins together. Granted, they barely beat Cincinnati and trailed Washington before blowing by them in the fourth quarter, but all wins count the same. And with those wins come shorter Super Bowl odds.
In Week 3, Baker Mayfield recorded his first game since last November without registering an interception. Minimizing mistakes is a crucial element for success in the NFL. The Browns take on the Cowboys next week, who have only taken away the ball twice this season. This is a “kick-em-while-they’re-down” situation against Dallas who have fallen to 1-2, and a momentum-builder spot for Cleveland. Going from +5000 (19th-shortest odds) to +4000 (17th-shortest) isn’t drastic, so if you’re a believer in the Browns, those are still good odds for a long shot team. And if a win is on the docket for them in Week 4, their odds will obviously only get shorter.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-1, +1400)
After starting his career in Florida with a loss to the division favorite Saints, Tom Brady and the Bucs have seemingly righted the ship. Now, after opposite results from their Week 1 foes, the Buccaneers stand atop the NFC South with a 2-1 record. Everything clicked against Denver in Week 3, as Brady threw three touchdowns (two to Mike Evans and one to Chris Godwin) and zero interceptions (first time while wearing a Bucs jersey). Their odds have shrunk from +1800 (6th-shortest) to +1400 (T-4th-shortest), right where they started the season.
Next up, the Buccaneers head back home to host the Chargers as seven-point favorites. The odds makers have had far too much experience with Tom Brady-led teams and will refuse to significantly drop their odds unless they fall hard in the division standings. And with a relatively soft schedule ahead, that’s unlikely to happen. These could be the longest odds that Tampa Bay has all season.
Kansas City Chiefs (3-0, +400)
The defending champions looked a whole lot like defending champions in Baltimore on Monday night. It was unclear how the Chiefs defense would handle Lamar Jackson and the Ravens offense, but for the second season in a row, the MVP was held in check with just one passing touchdown. And after a scoring eruption in the second quarter, the Chiefs cruised to a 34-20 victory over the Ravens.
Kansas City are cozy at the top of the league with the best odds to win the Super Bowl, shortening them from +500 (T-shortest) to +400. But the stretch of difficult matchups continues with Cam Newton and the Patriots this week, the division rival Raiders the following week, and Josh Allen and the Bills after that. As a Chiefs backer, it would theoretically be better to see them drop a few games early on in the season, providing the perfect opportunity to scoop them at their longest odds to complete the repeat.
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