Game 1 of the 2020 NBA Finals was a bloodbath. The Los Angeles Lakers went down by 13 early in the first quarter and after that, kicked it into another gear. The Miami Heat couldn’t keep up, couldn’t stop anyone on defense, and eventually imploded. Miami also lost a few key starters to injury during the game. Goran Dragic (foot) and Bam Adebayo (shoulder) are both banged up heading into Game 2 of the series on Friday at 9:00 p.m. ET on ABC. Let’s take an early look at the spread, moneyline and over/under total on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Spread: Lakers -9.5
Moneyline: Lakers (-500), Heat (+390)
Update: Oct. 1, 2:32 p.m. — So the Heat came out and announced Goran Dragic and Bam Adebayo are both being listed as doubtful to play in Game 2 on Friday. Since that news broke, the line has moved 1.5 points in favor of the Lakers and the ML jumped from LA -360 to LA -500. These numbers should continue to move, so we’ll keep you posted. FWIW I jumped on the Lakers spread before it moved up and I also go in on the Lakers series line at 4-0 for a sweep at +115. I think we’re going to see heavy movement on most of these lines as more information gets released heading into Game 2.
My initial thoughts are thank god they moved the line down. This still seems pretty generous. It’s not like the Lakers weren’t dominating before the injuries to Dragic and Bam. Jimmy Butler also rolled his ankle a few times, so he likely won’t be at 100% the rest of the series. So I could see this spread picking up steam depending on how the Heat injuries shake out. Adebayo says he intends to play but his future is much more important you’d think. Dragic could play through the tear in his plantar fascia, but that also seems pretty risky. Overall I don’t see a way the Heat can hang on in this series.
The point total hit the under by a hair in Game 1 at 214 (the line was 217.5). That was mostly because of the injuries and the blowout. If you think the game may be more competitive despite the injuries, sure, the over could be appealing. The under will get more looks from the public I think. The way back into the series for the Heat will be through defense, not offense. Slowing down the Lakers’ shooting and containing Anthony Davis is key. Now, doing that without Bam and Dragic may be extremely tough. So this may be a “wait and see” scenario.
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