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How and what to watch for NC State vs. Virginia

The over has been bet down in this one because they can’t score.

Virginia Cavaliers wide receiver Lavel Davis celebrates with Cavaliers wide receiver Terrell Jana and Cavaliers running back Wayne Taulapapa after scoring a touchdown against the Duke Blue Devils in the fourth quarter at Scott Stadium. Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

The Virginia Cavaliers welcome the North Carolina State Wolfpack to Raleigh for an ACC tilt on Saturday, October 10th for an ACC matchup.

Three games into the season, NC State makes very little sense as a team. Barely beating Wake Forest, getting killed by Virginia Tech, and then beating No. 24 Pittsburgh. Some form of consistency would be nice to see from the Wolfpack, but through three games NC State has run the ball 121 times and passed 102. But each game they throw it more and more, relying on the run less. Last week against Pitt, quarterback Devin Leary threw the ball 45 times for 336 yards and four touchdowns. The running game has gotten worse and worse, dropping production each week.

UVA has played one less game than the Wolfpack, but they at least make sense. The Cavaliers are a run-first team through and through, with two rushers in QB Brennan Armstrong and RB Wayne Taulapapa nearing 150 yards rushing already. Armstrong has completed just 54% of his throws with four interceptions to his five touchdowns. Last week they hung with Clemson for a little bit before getting crushed 41-23.

UVA has had the much tougher schedule to get here, and has played more consistently so far. But this is a strange game to select based on how Jekyll and Hyde the Wolfpack can be.

Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming

You can watch this game Saturday, October 10th at 12:00 ET on the ACC Network. It’s also available for streaming on the ESPN App.

Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends

Point spread: North Carolina State at Virginia (-7.5)
Point Total: 58.5
Money line: NC State (+295), Virginia (-325)

  • NC St are 2-7 against the spread in their last nine
  • The total has gone over in six of NC St.’s last seven games
  • UVA is 5-1 against the spread in their last six
  • The total has gone over in all of the Cavalier’s last eight games.

The Best Bet

The trends here are pointing in a pretty obvious direction. Both team’s have had productive offenses, even while UVA went up against a tough defense last week. But that over seems aggressively high though, especially for teams who have failed to put up more than 30 points just twice in five total outings.

Pick: Under 58.5

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