Before the game gets going, let’s take a look at where the lines have moved and where the bets are being placed. Should you follow the public? Let’s break it down.
All odds and info is provided by DraftKings Sportsbook.
Sportsbooks opened up with Notre Dame as -14 favorites. DraftKings Sportsbook has the Irish at -17. A ton of money is going to the side of Notre Dame with 81% of the handle on 66% of the bets.
Is the public right? Bettors who got this at -14 have a much better chance at covering than those at -17, but I’d side with Louisville with both numbers. Louisville is 1-3 but kept it within 13 points against Miami and lost to Pitt by three. I think the Cardinals get up for a game against the Irish.
The point total opened at 60.5, and it is currently listed at 62 by DraftKings. The over has received 73% of the bets but just 56% of the money.
Is the public right? Louisville’s defense has been a major issue, which was evident when it allowed 46 points to Georgia Tech in its last game. However, I respect Scott Satterfield as a head coach and trust the defense will gear up against an opponent that should motivate them.
When these numbers first came out, Notre Dame came out with -625 odds with Louisville at +450. According to DraftKings, the Irish are at -715 to win straight up with Louisville at +480. Of all the bets placed on the moneyline for this game, Notre Dame is receiving 92% of them and has 96% of the handle.
Is the public right? Yes. It is very unlikely Notre Dame is losing this game, but I’m not sure taking the Irish on such a high moneyline is even worth it.
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