Welcome to Week 7. It’s a fun one, but we’ll be avoiding picking the Game of The Century of The Week between Georgia and Alabama here. We did grab Bama -4, but we’ll be saving our bullets for the in-game wagers there based on what we saw on the film.
But we still found three winners for this week. Read ‘em and reap!
Kansas, and I cannot emphasize this enough, absolutely stinks.
0-3, 4.2 yards per play, and they’ve chose Miles Kendrick to be the full-time starter at quarterback. He of the 4.6 yards per attempt this year with two touchdowns and two interceptions. Kansas has four turnovers this year... and zero takeaways defensively. Every opponent after Coastal Carolina (who’s not bad actually!) has been able to name their score.
And today WVU chooses... pain. They only get 5.4 yards per game themselves, and they have five turnovers through three games. But KU won’t be able to force anything, and you get your offense healthy by blowing the Mountaineers out the door.
Irrelevant of the Les Miles Covid-19 diagnosis, this was always Dub V in a laugher.
Pittsburgh Panters vs. Miami Hurricanes -12
UPDATE 10:30 a.m. OK now we really love Miami -12, but that’s gone. We’ll play it up to 14 here as the Canes defense against a freshman is just not fair to the rookie.
Pitt senior starting QB Kenny Pickett will not play today at Miami, source told @Stadium. Panthers will go with either freshmen Joey Yellen or Davis Beville— Brett McMurphy (@Brett_McMurphy) October 17, 2020
Subject to Brevin Jordan playing for the ‘Canes... this is a terrific bounceback spot for UM. They got absolutely dusted by the best team in America last week in a 42-17 laugher vs. #1 Clemson that wasn’t that close. But somehow that did nothing to shut them out of the conference championship or national championship picture.
D’Eriq King didn’t transfer from Houston to mail in the rest of the season. He’s still one of the most dangerous players in America, and he won’t have 37 orange jerseys running at him on every down this week.
Pitt has a 3-2 record with wins against a bad schedule (Austin Peay, Syracuse (pure trash), Louisville (rebuild year), and losses to North Carolina State (not good) and Boston College (overachieving). They’ve forced nine turnovers, but haven’t seen a defense anywhere near the athleticism they will today from the 305. Canes will be up a ton, and you’ll just need to hope they close the back door. Feel free to in-game hedge/middle if you get scared.
Tennesse vs. Kentucky Over 45.5
These teams can score! Don’t overthink UK shutting down the Air Raid and Mississippi State last week: They still gave up 42 to Ole Miss and 29 to Auburn. UT QB Jarrett Guarantano looks like he’s getting better, and 215 yards and two touchdowns against the Georgia defense is actually quite impressive.
UT has one of the best offensive lines in America, and they can wear down the UK defense and mash in the fourth quarter. Score, score, and score some more.
If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER (1-800-426-2537) (IL). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ/WV/PA), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-522-4700 (NH/CO) or 1-800-BETS OFF (IA). 21+ (18+ NH). NJ/PA/WV/IN/NH/IA/CO/IL only. Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for full terms and conditions.