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We’re heading into Week 6 of the 2020 NFL season and there are a couple interesting lines on DraftKings Sportsbook. We have a few thoughts on the early betting splits.
The Buffalo Bills (-560) are the biggest favorites of Week 7. They’ve lost two straight games but are favored by 12.5 points against the winless New York Jets (+410). Buffalo has lost to two very good teams and suffered from two straight poor performances from Josh Allen. The Jets are a mess on both sides of the ball. While Sam Darnold is working toward making a return from his shoulder injury, a staggering 98 percent is betting on the Bills winning on the road. I’d be very surprised to see New York pull off an upset in this matchup.
One of the more interesting games that could end in an upset is the NFC South matchup between the Carolina Panthers (+275) and New York Saints (-335). Teddy Bridgewater will command a dynamic Panthers receiving corps consisting of Robby Anderson and D.J. Moore, with the team hoping Curtis Samuel can recover from his knee injury — facing off against a Saints secondary that gave up four passing touchdowns to Justin Herbert in New Orleans its last time out. Carolina has boasted a top 10 pass defense and could face a gimpy Michael Thomas. If Alvin Kamara doesn’t pick the Panthers apart on the ground, the underdog could come out on top. Bettors have placed 54 percent of points spread wagers on the Panthers, who are 7.5-point underdogs. I think Carolina has a good shot at covering.
The Pittsburgh Steelers (-124) will face off against the Tennessee Titans (+108) in a battle of unbeaten teams. The Steelers are 2-point favorites at DraftKings Sportsbook, but I’d give the edge to the Titans in this matchup. We’ve yet to really see Tennessee at full strength and Ryan Tannehill will have Derrick Henry, A.J. Brown, Corey Davis, Adam Humphries, and Jonnu Smith at his disposal in Week 7. Ben Roethlisberger has a shiny, new toy in Chase Claypool, but can he continue to carry the receiving corps? The public is expecting this to be a close game, but the Titans should have the advantage at home. Both teams can put a ton of points on the board, and that’s why 64 percent of total points wagers for the matchup have been placed on the over of 51.5 points.
2020 NFL betting splits, Week 7 Thursday AM
| Teams | Point Spread | % Handle | % Bets | Total Points | % Handle | % Bets | Moneyline | % Handle | % Bets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Point Spread | % Handle | % Bets | Total Points | % Handle | % Bets | Moneyline | % Handle | % Bets |
| NY Giants | +4.5 | 17% | 21% | Over 45.0 | 86% | 74% | +200 | 35% | 24% |
| PHI Eagles | -4.5 | 83% | 79% | Under 45.0 | 14% | 26% | -235 | 65% | 76% |
| BUF Bills | -12.5 | 99% | 81% | Over 46.0 | 24% | 38% | -560 | 98% | 97% |
| NY Jets | +12.5 | 1% | 19% | Under 46.0 | 76% | 63% | +410 | 2% | 3% |
| CAR Panthers | +7.5 | 83% | 54% | Over 51.0 | 83% | 77% | +275 | 25% | 11% |
| NO Saints | -7.5 | 17% | 46% | Under 51.0 | 17% | 23% | -335 | 75% | 89% |
| CLE Browns | -3.5 | 75% | 44% | Over 50.0 | 52% | 60% | -195 | 65% | 69% |
| CIN Bengals | +3.5 | 25% | 56% | Under 50.0 | 48% | 40% | +170 | 35% | 31% |
| DAL Cowboys | -1.5 | 25% | 58% | Over 47.5 | 1% | 31% | -124 | 64% | 59% |
| WAS Football Team | +1.5 | 75% | 42% | Under 47.5 | 99% | 69% | +104 | 36% | 41% |
| DET Lions | +3 | 71% | 75% | Over 56.5 | 66% | 71% | +125 | 75% | 49% |
| ATL Falcons | -3 | 29% | 25% | Under 56.5 | 34% | 29% | -152 | 25% | 51% |
| GB Packers | -3.5 | 100% | 100% | Over 56.5 | 60% | 72% | -175 | 94% | 88% |
| HOU Texans | +3.5 | 0% | 0% | Under 56.5 | 40% | 28% | +150 | 6% | 12% |
| PIT Steelers | -2 | 77% | 51% | Over 51.5 | 64% | 61% | -124 | 58% | 47% |
| TEN Titans | +2 | 23% | 49% | Under 51.5 | 36% | 39% | +108 | 42% | 53% |
| SEA Seahawks | -3.5 | 100% | 100% | Over 56.0 | 68% | 66% | -180 | 81% | 85% |
| ARI Cardinals | +3.5 | 0% | 0% | Under 56.0 | 32% | 34% | +155 | 19% | 15% |
| JAX Jaguars | +7.5 | 74% | 56% | Over 49.5 | 78% | 57% | +295 | 16% | 9% |
| LA Chargers | -7.5 | 26% | 44% | Under 49.5 | 22% | 43% | -345 | 84% | 91% |
| KC Chiefs | -9 | 76% | 55% | Over 48.0 | 93% | 57% | -375 | 81% | 96% |
| DEN Broncos | +9 | 24% | 45% | Under 48.0 | 7% | 43% | +310 | 19% | 4% |
| SF 49ers | +2.5 | 65% | 83% | Over 45.0 | 41% | 60% | +125 | 82% | 70% |
| NE Patriots | -2.5 | 35% | 17% | Under 45.0 | 59% | 40% | -143 | 18% | 30% |
| TB Buccaneers | -2.5 | 5% | 0% | Over 53.5 | 80% | 74% | -152 | 60% | 67% |
| LV Raiders | +2.5 | 95% | 100% | Under 53.5 | 20% | 26% | +133 | 40% | 33% |
| CHI Bears | +5.5 | 78% | 75% | Over 45.5 | 25% | 47% | +205 | 91% | 65% |
| LA Rams | -5.5 | 22% | 25% | Under 45.5 | 75% | 53% | -240 | 9% | 35% |
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