The UCF Knights welcome the Tulane Green Wave to Orlando on Saturday afternoon. UCF is coming off back-to-back losses for the first time since 2016, while Tulane might be turning a corner under a freshman signal caller.
The Knights come into this game with the best passing offense in the nation. Just last week QB Dillon Gabriel threw for 601 yards and five touchdowns in their loss to Memphis. His low yardage mark for the year is 330, which is better than the best day for many signal callers. That’s going to be a huge issue for Tulane to handle. The Wave have allowed 299 yards passing or more against every opponent except Navy. Tulane has given up a total of 19 touchdowns, nine of which came in the air. UCF’s rushing attack is not as good as we’re used to seeing from them, but it’s still quite potent. They might rely on the ground game more on Saturday, as there’s rain in the forecast for Orlando.
Tulane’s offense struggled in their first two games under QB Keon Howard. But since head coach Willie Fritz opted to hand the reins over to true freshman Michael Pratt, the Wave look like a different team. In two games as a starter Tulane has scored over 30 points each time, something they didn’t do in either game Howard completed. Still it’s a run first team, with 18 scores on the ground and an average of 5.1 yards per rush. Pratt forces defenses to stay honest though, as he’s shown he’s capable to take the top off a defense when they bite on play action.
The Knights defense has been rough so far in 2020. They rely on their ability to create turnovers, 13 on the season, to stop teams from running up and down the field. Pratt has just one turnover through 2.5 games and the Tulane offense has just two total turnovers since he started playing in Week 3.
Game Time/TV Channel/Streaming
You can watch Tulane vs. UCF Saturday, October 24th at 2:00 p.m. ET on ESPN2, and you can stream it via the ESPN app or with a cable or streaming login.
Point Spread, Totals, Odds, Trends
Point spread: Tulane vs UCF (-20)
Point Total: 72
Money line: Tulane (+600), UCF (-1115)
- The total has gone over in four of Tulane’s last five
- Tulane is 3-6 ATS in their last nine against UCF.
- UCF is 4-10 ATS in their last 14
- The total has gone over in four of UCF’s last five
The Best Bet
UCF as a 20-point spread seems like a lot, especially against a team who took No. 16 SMU to overtime last time out. The forecast doesn’t bode well for UCF either, as they turned the ball over three times their last time playing in the rain.
Pick: Tulane +20
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