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How the public is betting Holly Holm vs. Irene Aldana at UFC Fight Island 4

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Holly Holm and Irene Aldana meet in a women’s bantamweight bout at UFC Fight Island 4 on October 3rd. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight.

Holly Holm kicks Raquel Pennington in bantamweight bout during UFC 246 at T-Mobile Arena on January 18, 2020 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Photo by Steve Marcus/Getty Images

In the main event of UFC Fight Island 4 on Saturday night, #2 women’s bantamweight Holly Holm takes on #6 Irene Aldana live from Yas Island in Abu Dhabi live on ESPN+.

Holm is one of the mroe well-known women’s MMA practitioners in the world thanks to her defeat of Ronda Rousey in one of the biggest upsets ever in the sport. But since that epic win for the championship, she’s just 3-5 in the UFC and has lost four more bouts for the belt. With a 13-5 career record, in her octagon bouts she lands just 2.75 strikes per minute. The 38-year-old originally from Australia fights out of Jackson-Wink MMA in Albuquerque, New Mexico.

Aldana is 12-5 overall, 5-3 in the UFC. The 32-year-old from Guadalajara, Mexico lands a whopping 6.16 strikes per minute, and has only been taken down twice in her UFC career. Her last bout was a first round KO of Ketlen Vieira on December 14th of last year, which earned her a Performance of The Night bonus. It was the third time she’s taken home the additional $50,000 in her eight fights.

Here are the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Holly Holm vs. Irene Aldana at UFC Fight Island 4 on October 3rd.

Betting splits

Holly Holm: -121, (52% of action, 62% of bets)
Irene Aldana: +100, (48% of action, 38% of bets)

Winning method splits

Here are the splits for the method of victory at DraftKings Sportsbook for Holly Holm vs. Irene Aldana at UFC Fight Island 4 on October 3rd:

Holm vs. Aldana decision odds

Outcome Odds % Handle % Bets
Outcome Odds % Handle % Bets
Irene Aldana By KO, TKO or DQ +500 29% 17%
Holly Holm By Decision +150 28% 28%
Holly Holm By KO, TKO or DQ +500 14% 14%
Irene Aldana By Decision +200 9% 7%
Tie +6600 7% 7%
Holly Holm By Decision +150 9.3% 21%
Irene Aldana By Submission +1000 3.1% 7%
Holm vs. Aldana decision odds for UFC Fight Night

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