On the main card of UFC Vegas 12, two featherweights will clash as Bryce Mitchell will take on Andre Fili in a three-round fight this Saturday live from Las Vegas, Nevada and available on ESPN+.
Mitchell will come in as the favorite, and by the way the public is betting, you’d think the margin would be much greater. Mitchell aka “Thug Nasty” is coming in with an undefeated 4-0 UFC record.
Mitchell can strike, but he relies more on his grappling skills. Averaging 2.13 takedowns per 15 minutes on 41 percent takedown accuracy, Mitchell’s strength may make him a solid fantasy value.
As for Fili, he’ll be arguably Mitchell’s most competent opponent yet. An experienced fighter, Fili has a 21-7 MMA record. Also a grappler, Fili averages 2.71 takedowns per 15 minutes.
His striking numbers are a bit better, tossing 3.9 significant strikes at 36 percent accuracy. He absorbs almost four per minute which could be a reason for his 9-6 record in the promotion. Eight of FIli’s last nine UFC fights have gone the distance.
Here are the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Andre Fili vs. Bryce Mitchell at UFC Vegas 12 on October 31st.
Andre Fili: +126, (23% of action, 32% of bets)
Bryce Mitchell: -150, (77% of action, 68% of bets)
Andre Fili: $7,700
Bryce Mitchell: $8,500
Mitchell will cost quite a bit, but it’ll likely be worth it. He’s 4-0 and has one first-round finish. In a battle that might be won on the ground, this one could easily be over in the first round.
Both grapplers, there is value in this bout, but either fighter could be the one to end it early. If it goes the distance, it’ll be a lost cause though as neither fighter averages many points when the fight goes all three rounds.
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