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How public is betting and DFS considerations for Sean Strickland vs. Jack Marshman

Sean Strickland vs. Jack Marshman meet in a middleweight bout on the undercard of UFC Vegas 12 on October 31st. We break down how the betting public is picking the fight and the DFS pricing from DraftKings.

UFC 239: Weigh-ins Photo by Josh Hedges/Zuffa LLC/Zuffa LLC via Getty Images

In one of the several middleweight bouts of UFC Vegas 12, Sean Strickland and Jack Marshman will meet on the preliminary card this Saturday live from Las Vegas and available on ESPN+.

Strickland will enter the octagon as the heavy favorite. With 23 MMA bouts, Strickland is experienced and dominant, winning 20 of them. He’s 7-3 at the UFC level, but hasn’t fought since late 2018. Strickland was formerly a welterweight, and went a full 15 with current champion Kamara Usman. He averages 4.34 significant strikes per minute and 1.37 takedowns per 15. A mixed bag of tricks, Strickland typically relies on his striking.

He’ll draw “The Hammer” in this contest. For Marshman, he’s almost full dependent on striking, landing 2.64 per minute yet absorbing 3.54. He’s just 3-4 in the UFC, and in his last bout in July of 2019, he tapped out in 72 seconds to Edmen Shahbazyan.

Here are the betting splits at DraftKings Sportsbook for Sean Strickland vs. Jack Marshman at UFC Vegas 12 on October 31st.

Betting splits

Sean Strickland: -360, (89% of action, 95% of bets)
Jack Marshman: +270, (11% of action, 5% of bets)

DraftKings DFS Values

Sean Strickland: $9,100
Jack Marshman: $7,100

Strickland is costly, but he’s good value here. He averages over 70 fantasy points per fight which is only outdone by four other fights in the event.

If Strickland isn’t the route you’re going, I’d stay away from spending anything on this bout. Marshman has won one fight since 2017, a split decision in which he he had just 31 significant strikes.

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