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Top fades, value plays for Heat vs. Lakers Game 3 NBA Showdown

We go over the best lineup strategy for Sunday’s DraftKings Showdown contest for Game 3 of the NBA Finals between Miami and Los Angeles.

Kelly Olynyk of the Miami Heat reacts during the second half against the Los Angeles Lakers in Game Two of the 2020 NBA Finals at AdventHealth Arena at ESPN Wide World Of Sports Complex on October 02, 2020 in Lake Buena Vista, Florida. Photo by Douglas P. DeFelice/Getty Images

The Los Angeles Lakers and Miami Heat square off in Game 3 of the 2020 NBA Finals at 7:30 p.m. ET on Sunday night on ABC. The Lakers carry a 2-0 series lead into what could be the season for the Heat. Miami is expected to be without Bam Adebayo (shoulder) and Goran Dragic (foot) for a second straight game. Let’s take a look at some players to fade and a few value picks to help you in the DraftKings Showdown contest.

Set your DraftKings lineup here.

Players to Fade

Duncan Robinson ($5,200)

Even with the increased minutes and touches with Dragic out, Robinson is having a hard time returning value. This isn’t anything new, though. Robinson has been the starter at SG/SF throughout the postseason and really only shows up if he can knock down 4-5 treys. That isn’t likely in Game 3 knowing that the Lakers can really clamp down on the Heat to go up 3-0. Robinson only has 23 fantasy points over the first two games of the series. His price is OK but really there’s not a lot of upside here.

Kyle Kuzma ($4,000)

We sort of get sucked in by the price with Kuzma. He was over $5K and even up near $6-7K in these Showdown contests during the playoffs. Kuzma is coming off the bench and will maybe get around 20 minutes on most nights. Even when the Lakers are up, it’s the finals, they aren’t going to throw out Kuzma in garbage time in the second half and expect him to carry the team the rest of the game. So despite the low price tag, Kuzma isn’t appealing at all. He hasn’t had over 20 DKFP since the second round against Houston.

Value Picks

Jimmy Butler ($9,800)

For some reason, Butler’s price stayed the same since Game 2. We know that Dragic and Bam are most likely going to sit again. If that’s the case, what’s stopping Jimmy from putting up a similar line in a much bigger game. The Heat go down 3-0 and their chances of winning are basically non-existent. So in my eyes, Butler has a lot of value, particularly at $14,700 in the Captain’s slot despite potentially high ownership. Butler played almost the entire game on Friday and put up 25-8-13 for 56.5 DKFP.

Kelly Olynyk ($3,200)

It’s a bit odd Olynyk’s price didn’t go up much as well. Kelly O was $3K in Game 2 when we pretty much knew he was going to soak up a lot of minutes at center. Meyers Leonard started but he was more of a decoy. Olynyk played 37 minutes and was over a fantasy point per minute in Game 2. There’s no reason he won’t get at least 30 minutes in Game 3 tonight. Again, there’s nobody on Miami’s roster than has the size to match up against Anthony Davis and Dwight Howard. Olynyk is another chalk play but he’ll be able to return value pretty easily.