We’ve got ourselves a series! Jimmy Butler put up a 40-point triple-double in Game 3 on Sunday night and the Miami Heat are only down 2-1 in the 2020 NBA Finals to the Los Angeles Lakers. The Heat went a second game without Goran Dragic and Bam Adebayo, prompting many to believe that this series would likely end in four games. Butler had different ideas. The Heat forced the Lakers into a ton of turnovers and LeBron James and Anthony Davis played some of their worst ball of the postseason.
Heading into Game 4 on Tuesday, we know that Adebayo and Dragic have a shot at returning to the lineup. This makes things very interesting for the pivotal contest. Miami has a shot to get reinforcements along with the momentum from the Game 3 win. Do they have a shot at tying the series? Or will the Lakers shake off the loss and win two straight like they did against Denver a series ago? Let’s take a look at the initial lines for Game 4 on Tuesday.
Spread: Lakers -7.5
Moneyline: Lakers (-305), Heat (+250)
I’ll be honest, I was all over the Lakers at -8.5 after finding out that Bam and Dragic were doubtful again. The Heat played well in Game 2 last Friday but still ended up losing by 10 points. So my thinking was even with that type of effort, the Lakers should win pretty easily. Unfortunately, L.A. had a slow start, AD got into foul trouble and Jimmy Butler played out of his skull. So the 7.5 point spread is actually very intriguing. It can one of two ways.
Either the Heat get Bam and/or Dragic back and it becomes a much more competitive series. Or they come back and it doesn’t matter because the Lakers don’t make mistakes like in Game 3. The over came 0.5 point short in Game 3 at 219, which was also brutal. Just looking at the spread and ML after watching Game 3, it really makes you want to slam Miami and the points or even with those plus-odds. It may also be another situation where we live bet during the first half or at halftime. I really don’t want to bet against Butler, especially if the Heat get Dragic or Adebayo back.
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