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The Los Angeles Lakers and Miami Heat get back to it with Game 4 of the NBA Finals on Tuesday night at 9:00 p.m. ET on ABC. The Lakers carry a 2-1 series lead into Game 4, which will be pivotal with the Heat coming off a win on Sunday night. We’ll still need to wait on some injury news on Goran Dragic and Bam Adebayo, but for now, let’s take a look at some betting splits and how the public is leaning.
Lakers vs. Heat betting splits
Spread analysis
If you were looking for a surprise in the spread after Miami’s Game 3 win, you’re going to be disappointed. The Lakers are currently 7.5 point favorites and unsurprisingly the public seems to be big fans of L.A., according to DraftKings Sportsbook.
Betting against the Heat making it close is an interesting call after what we saw in Game 3. If you’re apart of the over 90% of people who’re betting the Lakers at 7.5 points, you’re simply relying on the “LeBron James and Anthony Davis not letting the series get evened up” narrative. Not a bad bet to take with the Heat’s injury concerns still at the forefront and the Lakers a bit embarrassed.
Over/Under analysis
In two of the three games thus far, the total points have been over 219. The Heat have become more offensively comfortable with each game and the Lakers have maintained a level of comfort. There’s good reason to the public backing the over of 219. A high-scoring Game 4 is to be expected given the importance of the series swing game.
Moneyline analysis
There’s a bit more public backing behind the Heat moneyline than the O/U or spread. With the Lakers moneyline being so high at -315, you’d expect a bit more action on the Heat. With the injury doubts and Lakers reeling after Game 3, I’d be hard-pressed to see the public shifting much further.
Lakers vs. Heat Game 4 Betting Splits
| Teams | Point Spread | % Handle | % Bets | Total Points | % Handle | % Bets | Moneyline | % Handle | % Bets |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teams | Point Spread | % Handle | % Bets | Total Points | % Handle | % Bets | Moneyline | % Handle | % Bets |
| LA Lakers | -7.5 | 82% | 77% | Over 219.0 | 70% | 71% | -335 | 69% | 66% |
| MIA Heat | 7.5 | 18% | 23% | Under 219.0 | 30% | 29% | 275 | 31% | 34% |
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