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Breaking down odds, picks, betting splits for Week 5 of 2020 NFL season

We go over some interesting odds, lines, and betting splits ahead of Week 5 of the 2020 NFL season.

Ryan Fitzpatrick of the Miami Dolphins reacts against the Seattle Seahawks during the second half at Hard Rock Stadium on October 04, 2020 in Miami Gardens, Florida. Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images

We’re a quarter of the way through the 2020 NFL season and we have a pretty good idea about what teams can contend for a championship and what teams are bound to struggle throughout the year. There have been tons of injuries to key players, and that could make some Week 5 betting lines interesting.

We’ve identified a few games worth keeping an eye on, with odds and betting splits courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook. We don’t have numbers for Bills-Titans and Broncos-Patriots due to the Covid-19 related issues that could postpone one or both games.

The Miami Dolphins are 1-3 on the year heading into their Week 5 game against the San Francisco 49ers, but they’re not as bad as you think. They lost to the New England Patriots at full strength by 10 points in Week 1 and fell to the Seattle Seahawks by eight points in Week 4. They’re 9-point underdogs against the 49ers, who are set to start Nick Mullens at quarterback. Xavien Howard and Byron Jones are formidable cornerbacks, and I wouldn’t be surprised if Miami loses in a one-score game. Bettors have placed 81% of the handle on point spread bets on the Dolphins.

Another game I have my eye on is the NFC South matchup between the Carolina Panthers and Atlanta Falcons. This game is shaping up to be a shootout, and the over/under for total points is set at 54.5. Only one game has a higher total point over/under in Week 5. Teddy Bridgewater has a ton of speedsters to pick apart Atlanta’s porous secondary, and Matt Ryan has an elite receiving corps capable of picking apart the Panthers’ young defense. Bettors have placed 83% of the money on the over.

The Cleveland Browns are underdogs at +100 in Week 5 and will host the Indianapolis Colts (-114) and I think the home team has a good chance to win this matchup. The Browns have been great against the run this season, and the Colts lean heavily on their running backs. Cleveland has a top-five run defense and Philip Rivers has only thrown four touchdowns in four games. This game could be close because of Indianapolis’ top-notch defense and the absence of Nick Chubb, who has been sidelined with an MCL injury. I trust Cleveland’s rushing attack more than I trust Rivers’ arm. Bettors are backing the Browns and have placed 68% of the handle and 70% of the total bets on the home team.

2020 NFL betting splits, Week 5 Friday

Teams Point Spread % Handle % Bets Total Points % Handle % Bets Moneyline % Handle % Bets
Teams Point Spread % Handle % Bets Total Points % Handle % Bets Moneyline % Handle % Bets
ARI Cardinals -7 94% 90% Over 47.0 77% 62% -335 99% 91%
NY Jets +7 6% 10% Under 47.0 23% 38% +280 1% 9%
CAR Panthers +1.5 54% 45% Over 54.5 83% 63% +106 65% 63%
ATL Falcons -1.5 46% 55% Under 54.5 17% 37% -120 35% 37%
CIN Bengals +12 20% 43% Over 51.0 74% 70% +480 13% 8%
BAL Ravens -12 80% 57% Under 51.0 26% 30% -590 87% 92%
JAX Jaguars +6 35% 40% Over 54.0 79% 47% +225 15% 36%
HOU Texans -6 65% 60% Under 54.0 21% 53% -265 85% 64%
LV Raiders +12 38% 50% Over 56.0 55% 59% +500 12% 8%
KC Chiefs -12 62% 50% Under 56.0 45% 41% -625 88% 92%
LA Rams -7.5 73% 77% Over 45.0 65% 70% -360 93% 94%
WAS Football Team +7.5 27% 23% Under 45.0 35% 30% +300 7% 6%
PHI Eagles +7.5 22% 34% Over 44.5 51% 77% +275 26% 20%
PIT Steelers -7.5 78% 66% Under 44.5 49% 23% -335 74% 80%
MIA Dolphins +9 81% 68% Over 49.5 50% 77% +320 34% 23%
SF 49ers -9 19% 32% Under 49.5 50% 23% -420 66% 77%
IND Colts -2 42% 46% Over 46.0 50% 72% -114 32% 30%
CLE Browns +2 58% 54% Under 46.0 50% 28% +100 68% 70%
NY Giants +9.5 26% 38% Over 54.0 67% 50% +330 6% 7%
DAL Cowboys -9.5 74% 62% Under 54.0 33% 50% -400 94% 93%
MIN Vikings +7 24% 27% Over 57.0 58% 56% +270 10% 9%
SEA Seahawks -7 76% 73% Under 57.0 42% 44% -315 90% 91%

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