Tonight’s Thursday night game is a good one, as the Top 2 teams in the AFC South go head to head. The 6-2 Tennessee Titans lead the South while the 5-3 Colts are in second place and look to lead-frog the Titans into the top spot. At this point, the division title is a two team race, as the Texans sit in third place with a 2-6 record and the Jaguars are at 1-7.
The Titans are favored by 2 points, with a 48.5 over/under, which is mostly due to home field advantage. Below, we’ll take a look at who to start and sit in a regular 12-team .5 PPR league.
Jordan Wilkins, RB, Colts
Frank Reich is splitting the running back touches up enough to make it difficult to use any from this group with confidence, but Wilkins appears to have the slight lead role at this point. The Titans have been below average against running backs this season, allowing 11 total touchdowns to the position.
Trey Burton, TE, Colts
The Titans have allowed a touchdown to Noah Fant, Tyler Eifert, Kyle Rudolph, Darren Fells and Jimmy Graham this season. Burton continues to lead the team at tight end and this week likely won’t have Jack Doyle to compete for work with due to his concussion. Moe Alie-Cox didn’t practice Monday, but got a limited practice on Wednesday. If he happens to miss, Burton is a great play, but if he can go, Burton’s upside takes a hit, but he’ll still be a useful play.
Jonnu Smith, TE, Titans
It’s probably tough to sit Smith, as he does have good touchdown upside each week despite some poor target numbers, but his workload and matchup tonight combine to make for a poor play. Over his last four games, Smith has six receptions on 10 targets for 83 yards and a touchdown. The Colts have allowed receptions on 32-of-56 targets for 290 yards and no touchdowns on the season. They have yet to allow a tight end to top 65 yards and only two have topped 50. On the season they have allowed the fewest fantasy points to the position.
T.Y. Hilton, WR, Colts
Hilton has practiced this week and looks ready to play after a week off with a groin injury. Unfortunately, Hilton has been bad this season and is no longer trustworthy for a start or to even have rostered in most 12-team leagues. Philip Rivers spreads the ball out too much for Hilton to see target numbers that can keep him as a fantasy play and with zero touchdowns and just 35.9 receiving yards per game, he’ll need to prove himself before getting back in a fantasy lineup.