The landscape of the National Football League changes every week. Where we thought teams lined up before Week 1 can (and usually does) end up being completely different to where they actually end up come Week 17. But all teams are focusing on one goal, even if it calls for a season to be tanked in the meantime. Everyone is aiming for the Super Bowl. And that’s exactly what we’ll focus on here. I’ll highlight three teams whose Super Bowl winning odds will change the most in Week 10.
Week 9’s biggest shift = New Orleans Saints (+700). For the second season in a row, the Saints have swept the two-game division series against the Buccaneers. In what was expected to at least be a close game, and even one in which the Bucs were favored, the Saints defense held their opponents to three points while Drew Brees and the offense stacked up 38. The statement win put New Orleans at the top of the division, while keeping pace with the conference-leading Seahawks and Packers, all at 6-2. It also slashed the Saints’ Super Bowl odds in half, from the 7th-shortest spot to the third.
As we approach Week 10, let’s break down which teams could see the biggest changes. All odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.
Minnesota Vikings (3-5, +10,000)
This one’s a long shot, but it’s one of the more sound long shots that I’ve suggested. Two of the Vikings’ three wins have come in the past two weeks against NFC North rivals. They followed their 28-22 momentum-shifting victory over the Packers with a smooth 34-20 win over the Lions. Minnesota has the opportunity to pick up its third division win as the team heads to Chicago for a Monday Night Football battle.
The Bears hold second place in the NFC North with a 5-4 record, but they’re far from a threatening team. The Vikings have an opportunity to extend the Bears’ losing streak to four games, while putting themselves in a legitimate path to fighting for that seventh seed. Dalvin Cook has been on an absolute tear recently, leading the league with 122.6 rushing yards per game and 13 total touchdowns. If the offense continues to click, Minnesota could easily accelerate to a 7-5 record as they take on the Cowboys, Panthers, and Jaguars after the Bears this week. Take the Vikings before they get really hot.
Arizona Cardinals (5-3, +3300)
The Cardinals suffered an excruciatingly close 34-31 loss to the Dolphins in Week 9. The matchup between Kyler Murray (four total touchdowns) and Tua Tagovailoa (248 passing yards and two TDs) was pure entertainment. Arizona entered the fourth quarter with a seven-point lead, but fell short, literally. Zane Gonzalez didn’t reach the uprights with his game-tying attempt and the Fins closed out the game, lengthening the Cards’ odds from +2800 to +3300.
The Cardinals remain in Glendale to host the 7-2 Bills, who are fresh off of a surprising 44-34 shootout win against the Seahawks. All signs point to another shootout in this battle, with the total currently set at 56 points (and potentially rising). While the Bills aren’t showing any signs of slowing down, the Cardinals are actually two-point favorites. A triumph over a team like Buffalo would certainly shorten Arizona’s odds, but if you think a loss is in store, it’s worth holding off for a better potential payout. Keep in mind, we could see eight teams advance to the playoffs in each conference, and the Cardinals should definitely finish in the top eight.
Seattle Seahawks (6-2, +1100)
Well, for the third straight week, I’ve included Seattle in this article for one reason or another. While I didn’t predict a Seahawks loss in Week 9, it actually makes their future bet far more tempting now. Russell Wilson (three total touchdowns) and the Seahawks offense couldn’t keep up with Josh Allen (four total TDs) and the Bills, losing 44-34. Seattle’s Super Bowl odds were stretched from +800 (4th-shortest) to +1100 (7th-shortest), and this could be the best time to buy.
In Week 10, Russ will fly down to Inglewood for a divisional clash against the Los Angeles Rams. The Rams are well-rested from their bye week, which is part of the reason they’re 1.5-point favorites. This line feels wrong (although I never claim to be smarter than the oddsmakers), especially since LA’s only “good” win came against Chicago. It’s a massive bounce-back spot for the Seahawks, which would make the current +1100 odds likely the longest they will get for the remainder of the season.
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